Old 07-22-2021, 10:34 AM   #81
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

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Originally Posted by sff_writer_dan View Post
You've only listed 7 people, Telnaior's in there twice.
edited to reflect, thanks

was a long day and working 3:00a-9:00a, then 4:30p-9:00p takes a toll on you, just for your information
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Old 07-22-2021, 10:50 AM   #82
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

My prediction is based on the current player's skill ratings, top 5, top 100, and R1+R2 score, ranked relative to the other competitors still D3. The sum of their ranks determines their ordering.

D3 Top 8 (in order):
Viisbyxa - Sum Rank: 8
KillerScythe0 - Sum Rank: 15
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo - Sum Rank: 15
tmgCryptX - Sum Rank: 16
123kappa3 - Sum Rank: 20
csoup1414 - Sum Rank: 20
anrai - Sum Rank: 25
exchro - Sum Rank: 27
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Old 07-22-2021, 10:54 AM   #83
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by WirryWoo View Post
Ignoring my model, I personally think the winners for each division will be:

D1: Fireo
D2: Deathserpent2
D3: Logman6656
D4: Jonlovesddr
D5: Amir96lx (rooting for XJ-9 though)
D6: Novelties (rooting for jh05013 though)
D7: Naheeno
D8: AnMaO

I hope both BigHayden1 and FlynnMac continues to skillboost. Both of them have been killing it in D7 so far. Great work guys!

I also hope MyNameIsNothing gets his Top 8 for D6 this tournament. If I magically get Top 8, I'd donate my prize to him if I could. He really deserves it.
Ignoring your model, who ends in #8 in D8 ?
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Old 07-22-2021, 08:57 PM   #84
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by KillerScythe0 View Post
My prediction is based on the current player's skill ratings, top 5, top 100, and R1+R2 score, ranked relative to the other competitors still D3. The sum of their ranks determines their ordering.

D3 Top 8 (in order):
Viisbyxa - Sum Rank: 8
KillerScythe0 - Sum Rank: 15
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo - Sum Rank: 15
tmgCryptX - Sum Rank: 16
123kappa3 - Sum Rank: 20
csoup1414 - Sum Rank: 20
anrai - Sum Rank: 25
exchro - Sum Rank: 27
Trying to do rankings like this objectively is never a good idea; realistically only two or three of the people you listed are gonna make it into the top 8, meanwhile the best players in the division (Logman, Sonic10110, Vinyl & Killuala) are nowhere to be seen.

Quote:
Originally Posted by FlynnMac View Post

Potential Top 8 of Division 3 (In no order):
1. 123kappa3
4key
csoup1414
exchro
Kawaii025
KillerScythe0
Killuala
Logman6656
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo
reedkmeister
rsr2
ScienceCrafter
SC_coolguy44
sonic10110
TheLegendofPie
themastergrant
tmgCryptX
Toxicity783
_DJ Vinyl_

Thanks for being the only person in this thread who believed in me for a bit :,)
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Old 07-22-2021, 10:19 PM   #85
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Toxicity783 View Post
meanwhile the best players in the division (Logman, Sonic10110, Vinyl & Killuala) are nowhere to be seen.
don't put that pressure on me i'm going to Perish
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Old 07-23-2021, 12:15 AM   #86
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Meanwhile I like being rooted for, thanks for the shoutout, hope you do as well as me
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Old 07-23-2021, 10:03 AM   #87
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Toxicity783 View Post
Trying to do rankings like this objectively is never a good idea; realistically only two or three of the people you listed are gonna make it into the top 8, meanwhile the best players in the division (Logman, Sonic10110, Vinyl & Killuala) are nowhere to be seen.
It was more so a quick public data assembly to see who had the best chances at winning. How are others making their assessments? I'm curious to know what metrics people are using to determine their guesses.

If I were to go just on what I've seen from browsing competitors profiles, then my bet is on Logman for 1st place. The sheer amount of playing they've been doing recently is crazy. Also within 30 minutes of R3 starting getting a AAA? What the heck! As much as I want to place, I'm rooting for them to win.

Guesses on Top 8? I dunno, too much data for me to be trying to compare non-objectively. I felt that using multiple data points would lead to a more accurate analysis on what could be, without overloading the hamster spinning in my head.
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Old 07-23-2021, 12:09 PM   #88
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

The only easy prediction was calling winner of D8 in the 13th official...everything else is a crapshoot or else the "obvious winner" would be bumped up a division.
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Old 07-23-2021, 03:44 PM   #89
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

mfw i actually forgot i signed up
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Old 07-23-2021, 04:17 PM   #90
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

bruh momento mori
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Old 07-24-2021, 10:50 PM   #91
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

D3 has the most skill boosted players, I'm predicting more rank up in this division than all of dem
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Old 07-27-2021, 02:04 PM   #92
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by MKIIPro View Post
DIVISION TWO
Winner: Puzzler64
R/U: TopeDogeWOW
TOP EIGHT: awesomebox, HBar, LvsL, Deathserpent2, popo55, miiklo
Wow! Usually I don't have anyone rooting for me, now I should fight for the gold! Even if jumpstreams are killing me, I'll keep pushing hard.
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Old 07-27-2021, 09:02 PM   #93
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

perhaps the only reason why wirrywoo's algorithm predicts i'll make top 8 is because of my 79 aaa equiv on molto vivace and my 78 aaa equiv on grind1 none of my other scores are very spectacular (and i'm somewhat rusty)

i'd say 90% chance i'm not making top 8 (that would require me to survive TWO WHOLE ROUNDS). 30-50% not making it into top 15 if i keep just using sightreads and hoping all works well
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Old 07-27-2021, 11:19 PM   #94
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Updated predictions (newest people color-coded in green). Not many new people but a bit of interesting reshuffling.

New Predictions Post Round Three:

Top 8 of Division 1:
Fireo
sff_writer_dan
SwedishMeatballs
The_Popo
Telnaior
Frans813
Zeldagurlfan1
uni385


Top 8 of Division 2:
Deathserpent2
miiklo
Rukairi
popo55
TopeDogeWOW
NapalmDaDon
chuckman
HBar


Top 8 of Division 3:
Viisbyxa
exchro
KillerScythe0
tmgCryptX
kiba1000
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo
anrai
Logman6656


Top 8 of Division 4:
Jonlovesddr
JibsterGamez
katanaeyegaming
Zlyice
TheFFRPerson
VisD
ositzxz369
Bok-XN


Top 8 of Division 5:
3lijah
Phynx
IwasAsquidOnce
Lights
storn42
snooches
Defluxit
axith


Top 8 of Division 6:
Hakulyte
LeftyRighty
iironiic
jh05013
radioamor
RagedBerserker
rayword45
spongebobismysenpai


Top 8 of Division 7:
Josemba
Devilchilly
CallMeMessyy
Aquellex
mi40
Naheeno
Deamerai
Eryyy


Top 8 of Division 8:
AnMaO
Matthia
Elah
Zoobin4
XtraFestive
SoFast
xXOpkillerXx
fastype


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Last edited by WirryWoo; 07-27-2021 at 11:20 PM.. Reason: removing color code from winner of d5 lmfao
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Old 07-28-2021, 01:16 AM   #95
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Post Round 3 Predictions

Predictions:

Top 8 of Division 1:
1. Fireo
2. sff_writer_dan
3. Zeldagurlfan1
4. diddleysquin
5. The_Popo
6. SwedishMeatballs
7. Telnaior
8. Frans813


Top 8 of Division 2:
1. Demonader
2. miiklo
3. chuckman
4. Deathserpent2
5. HBar
6. NapalmDaDon
7. Rukairi
8. Puzzler64


Top 8 of Division 3:
1. Killerscythe0
Logman6656
sonic10110
tmgCryptX
5. Killuala
6. _DJ Vinyl_
7. 123kappa3
csoup1414


Top 8 of Division 4:
1. Bok-XN
JonlovesDDR
stepman5
4. JibsterGamez
5. Doughdough
Twisue
7. Zlyice
8. Bluhr

Top 8 of Division 5:
1. Phynx
2. XJ-9
3. Amir96lx
4. 3lijah
5. MarcusHawkins
6. Psycast
7. axith
8. kadef


Top 8 of Division 6:
1. Novelties
2. remedy1502
3. MyNameIsNothing
4. jh05013
5. radioamor
6. Nikita3006
7. aurumjolteon
8. Dark Saga


Potential Top 8 of Division 7:
1. Naheeno
2. CallMeMessyy
3. Devilchilly
4. Eryyy
5. Thasyka
6. BigHayden1
FlynnMac
8. Deamerai
mi40

Potential Top 8 of Division 8:
1. Elah
Matthia
3. AnMaO
4. yipyapyop
5. XtraFestive
6. Zoobin4
7. fastype
xXOpKillerXx
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Last edited by FlynnMac; 07-28-2021 at 01:19 PM.. Reason: TopeDogeWOW was removed from tournament
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Old 07-28-2021, 12:32 PM   #96
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by FlynnMac View Post
Post Round 3 Predictions

Predictions:

Top 8 of Division 1:
1. Fireo
2. sff_writer_dan
3. Zeldagurlfan1
4. diddleysquin
5. The_Popo
6. SwedishMeatballs
7. Telnaior
8. Frans813


Top 8 of Division 2:
1. TopeDogeWOW
2. Demonader
3. miiklo
4. chuckman
5. Deathserpent2
6. HBar
7. NapalmDaDon
8. Rukairi


Top 8 of Division 3:
1. Killerscythe0
Logman6656
sonic10110
tmgCryptX
5. Killuala
6. _DJ Vinyl_
7. 123kappa3
csoup1414


Top 8 of Division 4:
1. Bok-XN
JonlovesDDR
stepman5
4. JibsterGamez
5. Doughdough
Twisue
7. Zlyice
8. Bluhr

Top 8 of Division 5:
1. Phynx
2. XJ-9
3. Amir96lx
4. 3lijah
5. MarcusHawkins
6. Psycast
7. axith
8. kadef


Top 8 of Division 6:
1. Novelties
2. remedy1502
3. MyNameIsNothing
4. jh05013
5. radioamor
6. Nikita3006
7. aurumjolteon
8. Dark Saga


Potential Top 8 of Division 7:
1. Naheeno
2. CallMeMessyy
3. Devilchilly
4. Eryyy
5. Thasyka
6. BigHayden1
FlynnMac
8. Deamerai
mi40

Potential Top 8 of Division 8:
1. Elah
Matthia
3. AnMaO
4. yipyapyop
5. XtraFestive
6. Zoobin4
7. fastype
xXOpKillerXx
inb4 we get to round 6 and you still don't predict me to top 8 ;-;
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Old 07-28-2021, 01:22 PM   #97
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Updated predictions to reflect TopeDogeWOW's removal from the Tournament.
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Old 07-28-2021, 02:04 PM   #98
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lights View Post
inb4 we get to round 6 and you still don't predict me to top 8 ;-;

Your avatar perfectly reflects the feelings in that statement xD
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Old 08-3-2021, 11:56 PM   #99
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Updated predictions (newest people color-coded in green). Since Top 8 is already secured for D1, I will be predicting Top 3 for D1 (same applies to all divisions after Round 5).

New Predictions Post Round Four:

Top 3 of Division 1:
sff_writer_dan
Fireo
SwedishMeatballs


Top 8 of Division 2:
Rukairi
Deathserpent2
miiklo
popo55
NapalmDaDon
chuckman
HBar
Puzzler64


Top 8 of Division 3:
Viisbyxa
KillerScythe0
tmgCryptX
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo
^Sorrow^
anrai
Logman6656
csoup1414


Top 8 of Division 4:
Jonlovesddr
JibsterGamez
Zlyice
TheFFRPerson
VisD
ositzxz369
Bok-XN
Knerves


Top 8 of Division 5:
3lijah
Phynx
storn42
Lights
snooches
axith
XJ-9
Psycast


Top 8 of Division 6:
LeftyRighty
iironiic
jh05013
radioamor
spongebobismysenpai
.Gazelle.
MyNameIsNothing
Novelties


Top 8 of Division 7:
Josemba
Devilchilly
Aquellex
CallMeMessyy
mi40
Naheeno
Deamerai
cup


Top 8 of Division 8:
AnMaO
Elah
Matthia
XtraFestive
Zoobin4
fastype
yipyapyop
XxNewson1234xX


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Old 08-4-2021, 12:01 AM   #100
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Pretty sure you need ZGF in there for D1
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