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Old 07-6-2021, 05:34 PM   #1
WirryWoo
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Join Date: Aug 2020
Age: 32
Posts: 240
Default 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT

For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions:

Assumptions:
• Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes)
• Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests
• Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating.

Predictions:

Top 8 of Division 1:
sff_writer_dan
SwedishMeatballs
Winterprison
The_Popo
Telnaior
Frans813
Fireo
Zeldagurlfan1


Top 8 of Division 2:
kainivy
LightLifeCheetah
TopeDogeWOW
chuckman
popo55
NapalmDaDon
HBar
Ksl33zy24


Top 8 of Division 3:
Viisbyxa
kiba1000
exchro
Psycast
anrai
flashflash master
tmgCryptX
csoup1414


Top 8 of Division 4:
A Cheap Lemon
katanaeyegaming
Brasegali
TheFFRPerson
Jonlovesddr
VisD
Zlyice
ositzxz369


Top 8 of Division 5:
Phynx
IwasAsquidOnce
justin_ator
PrawnSkunk
Jtehanonymous
snooches
Defluxit
Arbliterator


Top 8 of Division 6:
Ultimate Mike7
Hakulyte
LeftyRighty
FFR Pro 21
iironiic
awein999
radioamor
RagedBerserker


Top 8 of Division 7:
_Zenith_
Josemba
CallMeMessyy
Devilchilly
Aquellex
mi40
Godnick
Naheeno


Top 8 of Division 8:
AnMaO
Matthia
Elah
Eliminate294
Zoobin4
Yyorshire
SoFast
xXOpkillerXx



Additional thoughts:

Even though the predictions above contain some alignment to what I truly believe to be the winners of this OT, the assumptions made above are not necessarily true. I know some participants listed in my predictions who recently came back from hiatus and are attempting to derust. I also know some participants not listed in any of the lists above that can provide a strong showing based on their recent scores (recency bias at play here).

Because of this, I think the following players can potentially disprove the results of my Python script (unfortunately, I don't know much about the competition below D6, so I'll refrain from making wild guesses here)

• aperson [D6]
• jh05013 [D6]
• cup [D7]
• Eryyy [D7]
• XtraFestive [D8]



Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are.
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