TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

[Wayward Vagabond]

Would it be safe to assume that freezin and rb are Merlin's because why else would someone Nk them.

[Wayward Vagabond]

Originally Posted by Jub3r7

I keep confusing mixm and sg10. Am at work for anther 3 hours but I like Charu and circular cube. Mix might be a wolf. I might be a Merlin. Btw I think everyone should claim merlin and not say who their wolf is.

Tinfoiling hard rn

[Wayward Vagabond]

Wait nvm the wolves have a list of 5 players and 3 are Merlin's

[Wayward Vagabond]

If lar is to be believed then raeko and Charu are the last wolves

[Wayward Vagabond]

I need to go to sleep I'm just making a mess of my thoughts right now

[bugkid666]

Originally Posted by Wayward Vagabond

Would it be safe to assume that freezin and rb are Merlin's because why else would someone Nk them.

trying to out merlins is anti-town regardless of intention, multiple people have said this many many times

why are you imploding

[Jub3r7]

hey everyone! I'm back from my long and arduous journey of rereading posts and I think the 2 remaining wolves are

[Charu]

Wow

[Charu]

Well... I'm still in the mindset the two wolves are Raeko and WV, honestly.

MML being a wolf means he spent SO MUCH TIME making essays AGAINST HIS PARTNER and that... just seems asinine to believe. Bussing plays be damned, the only way a MML wolf to exist is if he truly, and I mean TRULY felt his partnered fucked up bad. Honestly, the flip flopping from Manti was bad, but I wouldn't call it a train wreck. I mean fuck, he VOTED IN MYLO and I STILL THINK HE'S TOWN. Shame on you, by the way, but I'll keep that vote on Wayward noted.

Bug being a wolf is more believable, but I don't see it from the way he's posted all game. Of course the analytical approach can just be a front, but me and his reads and thought processes have been essentially the same, least last phase. This phase it looked like they hinted they were going to make a case on roundbox, buuuut... again, could be a front.

[Charu]

Really, my mind is still Wayward and Raeko. Might vote Wayward since an insta didn't happen.

Would really like to vote Raeko though.

[Charu]

Wayward being a bit skittish this phase, that's also noted...

Not sure why they brought up merlins. We're all merlins.

[MixMasterLar]

Originally Posted by Wayward Vagabond

At this point why are you not resetting on bug knowing we're a mislynch away from losing

Also bold of you to vote me knowing a wolf pile on that vote of your ends the game

Let's face it if ai reset on Bug Im just going to look at their vote record and go "ok, town" again.
Like I'm literally clearing Raeko for less so there's no point wasting my energy trying to prove my read on them to myself.

I was extremely confident when I made the vote that I had the solve and a rush wasn't possible, simple as that. I did overthink it though and backed off when the thread started to crowd, but now I wish I had kept it up to prove that you wouldn't have been insta'd --- I think POE betrays you and you're simply a hit. Then again, Safety is always a cool procedure, dudes

Originally Posted by Jub3r7

hey everyone! I'm back from my long and arduous journey of rereading posts and I think the 2 remaining wolves are

Best deathpost in years

Originally Posted by Charu

Really, my mind is still Wayward and Raeko. Might vote Wayward since an insta didn't happen.

Would really like to vote Raeko though.

Sell me on it, preferably by selling your towniness

[Charu]

What would you like me to do? My wolf read on Raeko is still due to that one post where she was suddenly suspicious of roundbox and was "waiting to see" what he had to say.

Now that we know round is town, it honestly looks worse. To me, it STILL looks like she was using your essays as a cover for her sudden suspicions.

[MixMasterLar]

Originally Posted by Wayward Vagabond

Tinfoiling hard rn

Actually out of curiosity is this a sign that you're reading back on thread and a massive retrospective if the game is incoming?

Or did you just keep this singular post in your pocket?

[Charu]

Wayward I've been unsure all game, but now that it's us three against two wolves, he's a wolf by PoE.

I'll examine Bug because I don't wanna just stagnate on my two wolf's, but in my world, it's always Raeko.

[Charu]

Man... if you're a wolf MML, I'm just gonna coward. I really don't want to fight you, you're super aggressive, lmao

[MixMasterLar]

Originally Posted by Charu

What would you like me to do? My wolf read on Raeko is still due to that one post where she was suddenly suspicious of roundbox and was "waiting to see" what he had to say.

Now that we know round is town, it honestly looks worse. To me, it STILL looks like she was using your essays as a cover for her sudden suspicions.

The sheep looks real, for sure
But let's approach the puzzle from another way
We've seen Raeko play town many times and I think we can both agree she's more of a reactive player. If TownRaeko was switching to suspect Roundbox this phase, how would it look any different, if it looks different?
Or do we think TownRaeko never changes her opinion here?

[Charu]

I think given the chance, she would push on roundbox more since round labeled her as possible wolf. This is regardless of alignment imo.

I mean, I suppose, given the nightkill, it could be a setup to point directly to Raeko if she was town.

[MixMasterLar]

Originally Posted by Charu

I think given the chance, she would push on roundbox more since round labeled her as possible wolf. This is regardless of alignment imo.

I mean, I suppose, given the nightkill, it could be a setup to point directly to Raeko if she was town.

So basically we'd expect her to act the same regardless of alignment? That sort of makes your reasoning for susing her a literally NAI action then.

And yeah, I don't think she makes that kill. It is possible the other wolf does, or Manti pressured it, but idk if I buy the worldview

[Charu]

Originally Posted by MixMasterLar

So basically we'd expect her to act the same regardless of alignment? That sort of makes your reasoning for susing her a literally NAI action then.

And yeah, I don't think she makes that kill. It is possible the other wolf does, or Manti pressured it, but idk if I buy the worldview

Not necessarily, her one post quoting round and saying she was going to wait and see was before round considered Raeko a possible wolf.