At this juncture I'm almost 100% sure FG/T-Force is W/T or T/W. Admittedly, Haku has been extremely distracting and confusing because of his tangling himself into this conflict. Haku seems to have been roughly 50/50 flip-flopping on FG and T-Force, which would indicate to me a confused town, as opposed to a wolf trying to preemptively position himself advantageously.
It's time for bed now, but as you have probably divined, last phase's EoD is actually extremely dense with information. I think the key to nailing this phase lies in untangling FG/T-Force/Haku/Plop's clusterfuck during that time.
I'll do some heavier digging tomorrow, but remember that FFA/Ulli ended up as T/T. This makes the formation and dissipation of the T-Force wagon extremely valuable to explore. Wolves really have nothing to lose with a T/T wagon, especially on D0, so you should probably observe a lack of panic or drive from certain (wolf) players.
As soon as the T-Force wagon became a likely outcome, these certain players might have appeared more active or engaged, because they suddenly were tasked with defense. In particular, I think Plop fits this bill, with his "leaving the seat warm" on the FFA wagon, as if to siphon votes away from T-Force (and also possibly away from Ulli, in order to pile onto FFA as a way of risk management re: T-Force wagon).
This is partly for my records too, but I'm learning towards wolves in T-Force and Plop. Funnygurl voting for Plop and then onto Ulli is bizarre, and I see the interpretation that FG wanted to protect FFA in order to groom him as a pocket opportunity, but remember that the wolf team is just that-- a team. I don't see FG making such a maneuver on the fly for the sole purpose of optimizing her own long-term status. I'm more inclined to think that wolves would have some very basic notion of long-term objectives, and FG specifically being in the mindset of "well, I can pocket FFA later if I move my vote around!" isn't a likely explanation for that behavior, especially when you consider that in a CFD scenario, there are bigger fish to fry (and keep alive).
I'm inclined to take FG's explanations at face-value here. The wagons were clearly manifesting into FFA/Ulli, and from an intelligence perspective, town FG would stand to gain more by FFA being alive later on, instead of potentially being forced to resolve an unreadable Ulli.
With this in mind, Plop is very likely not a wolf partner with FG. I don't think they're T/T either. T-Force's EoD (and, honestly, D0) behavior is indeed passive, just as he said. But when EoD rolled around, he never really pushed in any direction. It felt like a lack of concern about the outcome--- because, as we know now, the wagons were T/T. It wasn't until T-Force himself came under fire that he started mobilizing more, specifically for self-defense. Plop, whether wittingly or not, threw T-Force a life preserver and distracted the rest of us from this conflict. If I remember correctly, Plop was directly talking to Haku when he made that post about "keeping the seat warm", which indicates to me that Haku/Plop are not W/W either.
These four characters form a system of equations that, in my opinion, give us AT LEAST 1 wolf, with the potential of UP TO 2 wolves. Current mindset is T-Force and Plop. I might be wrong on some details, so I definitely want to reread certain particular passages when I have a clear mind tomorrow.
I heavily encourage the rest of you to at least think of this phase in terms of a T-Force/FG dichotomy.