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**Vendetta21** · 07-15-2013, 11:30 AM

the problem with that james is that we will either lose tonight if the wolves are lucky or tomorrow we are definitely at lynch or lose.

so the only options to consider (since one must be a wolf) are jrodd and TPS and you absolutely must get it right

the problem is that both jrodd's and TPS' claims can be seen as measures to save themselves, and from an Occam's razor/game theory standpoint there is no reason for either of them to not claim as it makes more sense to claim to save yourself if you are in trouble than to not claim because you don't gain anything by not-claiming.

and both jrodd and TPS have quite a few things that make them wolfy and human

so tomorrow is going to be a tough day. you should be re-reading and independently analyzing everything jrodd and TPS say in preparation for tomorrow.

07-15-2013, 11:30 AM	#699
Vendetta21 Sectional Moderator Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Seattle Age: 35 Posts: 2,745	Re: TWG XCVII: The Flame War (Real Version) the problem with that james is that we will either lose tonight if the wolves are lucky or tomorrow we are definitely at lynch or lose. so the only options to consider (since one must be a wolf) are jrodd and TPS and you absolutely must get it right the problem is that both jrodd's and TPS' claims can be seen as measures to save themselves, and from an Occam's razor/game theory standpoint there is no reason for either of them to not claim as it makes more sense to claim to save yourself if you are in trouble than to not claim because you don't gain anything by not-claiming. and both jrodd and TPS have quite a few things that make them wolfy and human so tomorrow is going to be a tough day. you should be re-reading and independently analyzing everything jrodd and TPS say in preparation for tomorrow.