01-7-2005, 02:08 PM
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#151
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Admiral in the Red Army
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: the moon
Age: 38
Posts: 13,262
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It seems to me that Alain has yet to be a normal human. I'd say that odds are against him being a wolf again. If I were to guess based on probability of things, I'd say that Alain is most likely a normal human this game. Yes, his actions are suspicious, but I wouldn't define them as wolfy. In other words, we should keep an eye on him, but not lynch him right away.
Either way, if Alain is human or agent, I'd think that the people he lists as human can be trusted as human. My reasoning is this:
If Alain is human:
He would be worthy of trust. Anyone he belives is human, is probably accurate.
If he's a wolf:
He's handing us a decent alliance. A wolf most likely isn't going to put his other wolves in the alliance, just in case they get figured out. Because of this, I'd say it's safe to say that most, if not all, of those Alain trusts as human really are human.
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