Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread
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Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread
What the hell am I reading FFA
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it's hilarious that you're more willing to believe 2 full roleblocker claims than 1 full cop claim despite the rolls having equal odds tho
that was your whole argument yesterday |
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If you were wrong and we followed you, then we'd have had to policy you tomorrow and the game would be over. So explain. Were you betting game on a hunch ooor? |
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I measured odds of winning after the xiz lynch (still a terrible lynch btw) and decided a fake claim would have good results dbp is likely dead via massclaim tomorrow so as long as town doesn't screw it up the game is still going |
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Why would they have to out themselves when you flip? How does this give them game in lylo? |
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they needed to hedge against the probability that dbp got roleblocked night 2 |
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I accept that I'm likely going to get policy lynched |
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Dude what i dont understand your angle at all |
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course, nobody's gonna bring up the logic "it doesn't make sense for FFA to do this as wolf" even though it doesn't
even though everyone's like "it doesn't make sense for MML to claim here as DBP's partner" maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised |
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looks like setup is VCBBBTT unless someone hasn't claimed yet
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me getting lynched a day before lylo is not a big deal especially when it forces wolves to claim to survive |
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DBP knows I was roleblocked, but I'm still claiming a red check. The only way that's mechanically possible is if dbp got roleblocked as well. They need to account for that possibility by having MML claim roleblocker as well |
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when I say "dbp has to play around the possibility that they got roleblocked night 2"
it doesn't mean I think dbp got roleblocked night 2 I'm in dbp's headspace when I talk about what dbp does and I sincerely hope you understand that |
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FFA, I’m honestly confused about your logic here if you’re town. Why lie about a red check instead of making your case against DBP in the thread?
I don’t see how you can be town and do this. |
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what happened? MML threw a tantrum I had zero influence or inertia into pushing a dbp lynch, just like I had no influence or inertia trying to keep xiz alive till massclaim |
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I could see a gambit where a townie fakeclaims a redcheck to see how that person would react, but not one where the townie keeps that claim for 90% of the phase.
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anyway my mom is literally screaming at me because we're helping some people move and it's very likely I'm missing eod
read my iso, policy lynch me, or lynch outside the claims, idrc |
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THANK YOU IT WORKED |
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If he was wolf roleblocker and you got roleblocked last night, then he'd know without any of the other nonsense I think you're twisting the issue on MML and destroyed the game by committing so hard to a fake claim if you're town. You were asked by a majority of players to rescind your claim if you weren't cop back in the hypo phase. Going past that guns blazing at a suspected target you have no mechanical reason to be CERTAIN of is 100% antitown |
Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread
Mikey's behavior is not looking good for him. "I don't care, policy lynch me" is not something a townie would say the day before LyLo.
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Does anyone else remember anything like that? I don't, and I'm working so I can't exactly go back and check |
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Mikey's claim is no longer incompatible with MML's and DBP's. The fact that he is not considering a world in which they are town is another nail in the coffin.
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AFAIK, he was trying to keep xiz alive to solve him in massclaim I’ve woken up to a clusterfuck guys I think I’m in the same boat where I agree FFAs strat this phase has been antitown, and it needs to be resolved |
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That’s what I’m afraid of. If all 3 are town then we’re fucked |
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The more I think about this situation, the more confused I get:
FFA as wolf: pushes a mislynch with a fake claim and gets lynched the next day phase FFA as town: risks the whole game for a hunch? Can someone who understands the set-up explain if there’s any possibility of an SK at this point? I could see wolf cop FFA getting an SK check on DBP and trying to take SK down that way maybe? Is this too tinfoil-y?? |
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Mikey should also know that SK is investigation immune, since I pointed it out to him earlier.
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Claiming a red check would've been pointless cause he would be disproven as cop if DBP flipped SK instead of wolf |
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Vote Count:
5/1 @ 19:00 00:59 = GOOD 00:00 = BAD ============== flashflash account [3] DaBackpack, MixMasterLar, leetic DaBackpack [2] flashflash account, Duskfall Duskfall [1] Bolth mannn |
Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread
FFA since I'm in and out with work
That's 4 now, careful of hammer in case someone else wants to say something, though it likely won't make much difference today |
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I can see you hiding around Hakulyte, what are your thoughts?
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And also you should answer the GTH question Haku
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He was clearly trying to have it both ways. |
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Should I just vote for FFA? Is there a reason to hold back?
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Clearly this is T/T and I'd shoot Bolth here because Xiz said so.
Logic says FFA tho. |
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Aside from FFA, is there anyone you feel confident about in any direction? I know I asked you this before, but thread has jumbled everything up since
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Vote Count:
5/1 @ 19:00 00:59 = GOOD 00:00 = BAD ============== flashflash account [4] DaBackpack, MixMasterLar, leetic, ShadoWolfe DaBackpack [2] flashflash account, Duskfall Duskfall [1] Bolth mannn |
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FFA looks too easy as usual.
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Duskfall had the right idea with MML and DBP not necessarily being together.
Unfortunately, incomplete claims messes everything. |
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