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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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For example, I believe that Xiz believed it. Therefore, Xiz is town. I also believe that DBP was hedging his bets on the claim, and it therefore more likely mafia. In short, this is a tool that /can/ be used to figure out alignments. |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
yea the lynch pool is AA/DBP/xiz/fonti/storn
from what ive seen so far i'd clear xiz the most out of them, and i have liked fonti's posts today. if it's true that there was no wolf kill when haku targetted V then fonti is polarized to town or SK i need to clear someone out of AA/DBP/storn then, is there any reason why i should be reading any of you 3 town? |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
I don't think V can be Mafia for a very simple reason.
The only N1 scenario where Mafia doesn't target Vendetta is the one where they hit the bulletproof vest. If they hit the bulletproof vest, there's no reason for them to not murder the SK next night and throw him/her out of the game. Therefore according to me, Mafia has definitely target V N1. If Mafia target V N1, it means that V cannot be Mafia. I'm fairly convinced that V is the SK tho and that Mafia felt unsecure about continuing to try to lynch V after I claimed that I protected him. Everything so far is pointing me into that direction. Fontisian's play just raised that suspicion even more to the point that I can't ignore her anymore. I also have a very hard time conceiving the existence of a world where you're Vanilla Town after fake claiming Cop and soft-claiming SK as a joke. I also think the Mafia is in a similar situation with the Zenith ragequit sinking ship. #hi AA The only uncertain left would be storn42 for me, but I think he's doing his typical scum-looking Town play and he feels fairly clear to me to not bother. If there's 2 or more Mafia alive tho, this game is not going to end well lol. Sadly, since SK can't claim, I feel forced to lynch that person first in what a normal game would have been like "a good moment to make some pact and do tactical stuff together." Therefore, because of the rules, I'm sticking to fontisian and I'll have to pray that there's only 1 Mafia left in the game. *shrugs* |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
i like that post haku, and i guess i agree. fonti's posts have seemed more SK than not today, with a weird fixation around a joke there. im not in the flow of the thread at all so im not sure how many wolves would be left at this point. you think fonti is the most worthwhile lynch then?
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
DBP is clear to me because he cleared himself from everything I ever builded up against him. Charu was convinced he was Town and just got killed by both SK and Mafia. It's like they don't want us to completely trust DBP. He provided a lot of posts and content, his entire existence has been so good overall that I cannot picture him not being Town.
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
i made the point earlier that i can't see DBP leading the thread in posts as a wolf. simply a quantity over quality read, and im willing to sponge you on that for now
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
so i guess it's AA/fonti/storn gg?
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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@jrrodd: I think the SK thing is entirely irrelevant. I'm only continuing to talk about because people keep bringing it up for some unfathomable reason. I am not the SK. I would have never done the cop claim as the SK. I would have never shot Charu as the SK. I am VT. |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
well if it helps you at all im usually very terrible at SK hunting, haku's reasoning makes sense is all and at this point it's pretty much POE. i can read zenith/AA i guess and see if i find anything that leans me in either direction
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
It's only poe if we assume you, Xiz and DBP are town, j-rodd. I'm very uncomfortable with the DBP read.
I would be willing to lynch Storn today instead, or possibly AA if he doesn't get back to me. But I think clearing DBP will lose the game. |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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imagine hypothetically that I'm a wolf or SK and you fakeclaimed AA as a wolf why on earth would I not latch on to that? why would I actively try to dismantle your argument? within this mindset the only situation that makes sense is that AA and I are partners together, which I guess would make sense for me to "hedge my bets", but that's about it |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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red blaster is confirmed but his reaction was pretty good. he's been wanting me dead and his excitement at being able to nail me down based off of a red check was very towny. xiz bought the claim and found V's posts that lined up with the checks that you outed but I don't like how even though I said over and over that it was breadcrumbing he automatically went with "oh that's legit softing" |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
I'm pretty convinced AA is town now
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
I thought about the Charu thing some more
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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you can look at my reaction to the fake check and decide for yourself |
Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
If AA is town, storn42 is the Mafia.
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
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Re: TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD
well to be devil's advocate on why would a wolf question a claim they know is false in that position, is that when it comes down to it, wolves like to be correct
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