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-   -   14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread (http://www.flashflashrevolution.com/vbz/showthread.php?t=153413)

WirryWoo 07-6-2021 05:34 PM

14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT :)

For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions:

Assumptions:
Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes)
Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests
Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating.

Predictions:

Top 8 of Division 1:
sff_writer_dan
SwedishMeatballs
Winterprison
The_Popo
Telnaior
Frans813
Fireo
Zeldagurlfan1


Top 8 of Division 2:
kainivy
LightLifeCheetah
TopeDogeWOW
chuckman
popo55
NapalmDaDon
HBar
Ksl33zy24


Top 8 of Division 3:
Viisbyxa
kiba1000
exchro
Psycast
anrai
flashflash master
tmgCryptX
csoup1414


Top 8 of Division 4:
A Cheap Lemon
katanaeyegaming
Brasegali
TheFFRPerson
Jonlovesddr
VisD
Zlyice
ositzxz369


Top 8 of Division 5:
Phynx
IwasAsquidOnce
justin_ator
PrawnSkunk
Jtehanonymous
snooches
Defluxit
Arbliterator


Top 8 of Division 6:
Ultimate Mike7
Hakulyte
LeftyRighty
FFR Pro 21
iironiic
awein999
radioamor
RagedBerserker


Top 8 of Division 7:
_Zenith_
Josemba
CallMeMessyy
Devilchilly
Aquellex
mi40
Godnick
Naheeno


Top 8 of Division 8:
AnMaO
Matthia
Elah
Eliminate294
Zoobin4
Yyorshire
SoFast
xXOpkillerXx



Additional thoughts:

Even though the predictions above contain some alignment to what I truly believe to be the winners of this OT, the assumptions made above are not necessarily true. I know some participants listed in my predictions who recently came back from hiatus and are attempting to derust. I also know some participants not listed in any of the lists above that can provide a strong showing based on their recent scores (recency bias at play here).

Because of this, I think the following players can potentially disprove the results of my Python script (unfortunately, I don't know much about the competition below D6, so I'll refrain from making wild guesses here)

aperson [D6]
jh05013 [D6]
cup [D7]
Eryyy [D7]
XtraFestive [D8]



Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are. :)

FlynnMac 07-6-2021 05:40 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I'm going for at least top 16, and want to see if I can hit top 8 as a stretch goal perhaps :)

SubaruPoptart 07-6-2021 05:46 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I predict everyone who participates in this tournament will get a profile badge

Zlyice 07-6-2021 05:48 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I predict this thread will contain predictions.

Eryyy 07-6-2021 05:48 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Time to show technology who's boss :')

Also Nakadashi is gonna roll the dice for sure, he's easily D8 for his physicality (33MSD without much farm LOL) and acc is nuts, I could see him winning if he adapts more and plays his cards right lol. The fact he's in D7 chills me.

Kawaii025 07-6-2021 05:50 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again. :D

SubaruPoptart 07-6-2021 06:05 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kawaii025 (Post 4763541)
I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again. :D

I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too

Pizza69 07-6-2021 06:06 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
- defluxit wins d5
- jh05013 gets top 5 d6
- i get eliminated from d7 in either round 2 or round 4, but not 3
- cup gets top 8 d7
- lawn wake 69

sff_writer_dan 07-6-2021 06:18 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Come on Swedish Meatballs v Devonin finals!

gold stinger 07-6-2021 07:17 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
devilchilly wins d7 again
haku actually wins d6
Anmao stays in D8 long enough with subpar accuracy to dominate the higher rank songs

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pizza69 (Post 4763543)
- lawn wake 69


Kawaii025 07-6-2021 08:07 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SubaruPoptart (Post 4763542)
I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too

But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P

SubaruPoptart 07-6-2021 08:39 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kawaii025 (Post 4763554)
But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P

I have not but :)

Psychotik 07-6-2021 09:24 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I will be last in D5 :mrgreen:

MKIIPro 07-6-2021 09:27 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
DIVISION ONE
WINNER: Fireo
R/U: Uni385

DIVISION TWO
WINNER: Puzzler64
R/U: TopeDogeWOW

DIVISION THREE
WINNER: Logman6656
R/U: SC_coolguy44

DIVISION FOUR
WINNER: ositzxz369
R/U: psychoangel691

DIVISION FIVE
WINNER: PrawnSkunk
R/U: qrrbrbirbel

DIVISION SIX
WINNER: sploder12
R/U: CammyGoesRawr

DIVISION SEVEN
WINNER: cup
R/U: Pizza69

DIVISION EIGHT
WINNER: Matthia
R/U: AnMaO

sonic10110 07-6-2021 09:46 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
bouta be last in D2, watch me

XelNya 07-6-2021 09:58 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I want to see Haku win D6

and Zenith or Devil win D7

Don't really care about the rest for reasons

themastergrant 07-6-2021 10:00 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
HBar can take D2 dark horse style

Edit: Nice R1 AAA HBar

Zeldagurlfan1 07-6-2021 10:21 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I hope that y all know that im choosing you to win your division <3

sff_writer_dan 07-6-2021 11:13 PM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MKIIPro (Post 4763558)
DIVISION ONE
WINNER: Fireo
R/U: Uni385

Aw man, I don't even get a shot at runner up?

_DJ Vinyl_ 07-7-2021 12:07 AM

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 
I'll will get top 3 again probably


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