Flash Flash Revolution - TWG 194

I'm townreading you

I was townreading FFA before his cop claim, which would have normally locked it in for me, but it honestly feels like twgchaos play 2.0 and I don't really know how to feel about that, especially since I can't think of anything I can do today to solve him other than believing him.

Bolth mannn

04-30-2020 09:07 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Everyone else is null - scum lean

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:12 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolth mannn (Post 4728438)

I'm townreading you

It's concerning me a bit that I'm considered the purest town player here.

Bolth mannn

04-30-2020 09:21 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hakulyte (Post 4728440)

It's concerning me a bit that I'm considered the purest town player here.

why, are you not?

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:22 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolth mannn (Post 4728441)

why, are you not?

Nah, it's more like how I easily get my town reads compared to others.

leetic

04-30-2020 09:29 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by flashflash account (Post 4728417)

leetic, if you want to talk statistics, I see a 40% chance of dbp being wolf minimum
I realize you have different statistics than me but even if me/dusk/x is the wolf team that's still higher odds for dbp to be wolf than for the setup to be CCCxxxx by any measure lol
basing anything off of statistics is pretty stupid because of how badly it can be minced and mangled

This isn't necessarily a comparable situation, since from my perspective everyone else has the same statistical chance of being a wolf but your claim only applies to your slot.

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:30 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by MixMasterLar (Post 4728421)

Aaaaaaaahahaha17wusjw8wuwuwus8iwiwiwiwuw DBP FUCK

Well i guess if DBP pocketed me hard it was the easiest damn pocket because all he had to do was point out how fucking silly everyone sounded.

I'll stand by, in post game, that Xiz losing his cool and claiming at pressure from Haku really just dicked everyone over.

But i reas thread and I have reasons to believe FFA might be the truthful one here as satisfying as it would be to have him wolf. But hey, DBP flips anything not red you're getting insta-lynched with extreme prejudice fucker

------
Duskfall looks a little better for nor wanting massclaim
Bolth and Jessie need to play the game

He does this and and i will make 5 posts voting him with various spellings of his name and then AFK

Let's say I take this MML post.

I look at it.

I'm like; is this MML actually being upset that DBP might have been pocketing him or he's simply together with DBP and he knows that this situation will put him in danger ?

Does this story make sense ?

Are we going to realize that DBP was real and FFA was fake ?

etc. etc.

Bolth mannn

04-30-2020 09:34 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Also, my maths might be wonky but I think we're 1 off insta on dbp again

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:35 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolth mannn (Post 4728446)

Also, my maths might be wonky but I think we're 1 off insta on dbp again

Well, that's probably on purpose.

insta is 5.

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:36 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Imagine how weird this game is if wolf team was leetic/MML/FFA.

leetic

04-30-2020 09:40 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Let's work under the assumption that Xiz was blocked by a wolf blocker (it's still possible that he was blocked by a town blocker, but until someone claims I'll just leave that be). If the wolves thought Xiz was definitely going to shoot town, then there would be no real reason to block Xiz. That means that, most likely, someone thought there might be a chance, however small, that someone on the wolf team would go down. Let's look through Xiz's ISO towards the end of D1 to see if we have any leads:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xiz (Post 4726776)

I'm sus of Ult trying to lead my shot choice, but its low sus

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xiz (Post 4726741)

psycho is not wolves with ult most likely from ult's post telling me to shoot her...

but then again ult seems like a decent player so that might be a bus? something to note, no real sway on me imo

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xiz (Post 4726738)

ffa is ult a possible vote for you today

He was focusing quite a bit on "Ult" (from context, I believe this is referring to MML). Thus, MML is the one who would have had the most reason to roleblock Xiz as a wolf. This is something to consider.

leetic

04-30-2020 09:43 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolth mannn (Post 4728446)

Also, my maths might be wonky but I think we're 1 off insta on dbp again

Since DBP was twice to near insta but wasn't hammered immediately, that reflects poorly on that slot's odds of being town. Well, either that, or the other mafia is jessiebessie, which is also a huge possibility

Bolth mannn

04-30-2020 09:45 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hakulyte (Post 4728448)

Imagine how weird this game is if wolf team was leetic/MML/FFA.

If FFA turns out to be lying this is the team that would make the most sense to me.

Bolth mannn

04-30-2020 09:46 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by leetic (Post 4728450)

Is this assuming scum would immediately hammer?

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:47 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

If anything, I think that makes DBP look good because wolves are likely to vote the town player here.

Hakulyte

04-30-2020 09:48 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by leetic (Post 4728449)

Let's work under the assumption that Xiz was blocked by a wolf blocker (it's still possible that he was blocked by a town blocker, but until someone claims I'll just leave that be).

I stopped thinking here because I can totally see a town blocker block Xiz.

flashflash account

04-30-2020 09:49 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolth mannn (Post 4728452)

Is this assuming scum would immediately hammer?

I don't think wolves hammering the slot if it's town is out of the question, because then it basically locks town into lynching me the next day because lolffr

leetic

04-30-2020 09:49 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

So, is DBP/MML/jessiebessie a valid scumteam? DBP and Ulle/Shado did have a few posts that made them feel unaligned (such as DBP misgendering Ulle and interjecting on Ulle's behalf in a way that looks w/t) even if the evidence for a jessie/Shadow pairing is strong. DBP (and MML, I believe) both said we should be lynching inactive, so the fact that jessie didn't pick up any serious traction as a lynch option in the last two days looks weird on them. MML was also one of the people who avoided voting for DBP the first time he got near insta, so there's that too. I'll look through MML's ISO but this does seem like it has a decent chance to be our team.

Bolth mannn

04-30-2020 09:50 PM

Re: TWG 194 - Game Thread

Quote:

Originally Posted by flashflash account (Post 4728455)

I don't think wolves hammering the slot if it's town is out of the question, because then it basically locks town into lynching me the next day because lolffr

Why are you considering wolves hammering a town slot as a possibility if you've hardclaimed a red check?

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