16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

It's another year and another OT, so let's see when kind of predictions you have regarding winners, placements, song choices, the stream not worked, the amount of VS files in the OT, etc.

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Velocity will win D9 this year. i have a good feeling.

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I will not win D7!

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E-B-E will not die first :clueless:

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Velocity wins d1

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TheTrueXfish will win D7. Come at me bro.

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every file is gonna be a VS file calling it now

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I predict at least two people will be disqualified or at least have been removed from the tournament in a way that is not the normal process of elimination.

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People are predicting placements lmao give me time

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I hope we get those predictions from Wilson again! I know he was getting a lot of hate about them but I thought it was cool to see who was improving each week

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D4 - Justin wins if he avoids another D5 placement
D5 - James May
D6 - Jacobvl or some god gamer from another rhythm game
D7 - Spiraling or mr fish
D8 - Matt. this is the year matt.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

There is almost no quantitative way this year's choice for D8's finale will be worse than OT15's.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

I will post the predictions from my script once division placements are finalized. In the meantime, I'll use them to help FFR Staff out if they need those predictions.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

3-way tie in round 6 of D5 featuring a new musician, the tiebreaker is a BMS song by a well-known musician, the winner survives with a 8.4 raw goods difference and then gets eliminated at 4th place in round 7 featuring a breakcore song not by VS by being sniped with a 1.2 raw goods difference 30 minutes before the deadline.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

The tournament will have 8 VS files.
The stream of round 5 will have a hiccup in the introduction over a technical issue.
At least half of the 1st places will be players who are familiar with Osu.
There will be multiple tiebreakers, but they will all be broken by the end of the round.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Synthlight will signup and win division 1.
There will be no Venetian Snares, Camellia, Frums, Terminal 11, or Tasselfoot songs featured.
The total notes of all division songs will result in the number 98,415.
One of the divisions will only get Velocity files for every round song. Similarly one of the divisions will only get t+pazolite songs for their rounds.
Klarion loses the 50/50 on Kafka banner and gets Welt instead at 55 pulls in and then gets Kafka 32 more pulls later.
Each round will feature a new step artist with their first file release into FFR.
Squidward will make an appearance in round 8 of a division and the loser of the tiebreaker will get eliminated due to sneezing in the middle of their best run of the tiebreaker song and then proceed to mindblock it.
There will be 5 dump files released.
Goldstinger will eat a bagel.

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And bring two heads of kale next AN.

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I HAVE BEEN TARGETED NONSTOP SINCE I STARTED PLACEMENTS

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owned

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We will get a file with absurdly low quality. But it will be only one, and I predict it will be the D5 round 3 file.

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wrong because i have 3 files in the batch

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7 out of 8 d3 charts will be js/jg without so much as a single minijack, and the remaining good chart will be the round after I go out
the dashboard says there's only one person in d1, and both psycast and velocity are signed up, so I think we're doing the same bit as last year

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

jumpgluts are just minijacks that actually require skill :thinkies:

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

My prediction is that a very large number of people who are on paper low D6 will fill up the top of the D6 bracket, and the "usual suspects" will all place far lower than expected. I'm not expecting to be in the top 8.

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i predict that i won't be in the top 3 for this tournament

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Same buddy lol our prime is past

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i predict i know the player placements and when they drop

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I lose in the first round lmao

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I’m predicting that I will only get 5 points this entire tournament.

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I predict top 3 D8 will be Me, Hakulyte & Shashakiro.

Other than that, I hope to see a good amount of bops to listen to.

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I can guarantee that my friend clyde on discord vouches for this one

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i predict i will die because of a jack file

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i predict i will die

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i predict and am manifesting the reality in which d5 is exclusively jack files

R3 will be AIM Anthem

cmon world i need this, i want top 8 so bad but i need a miracle

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I predict that people will be watching the preview streams tonight having no idea what division they're in.

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I also predict that I'll die to a jack file

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I predict that I'm going to forget about a preview stream at some point or have to work during one and as a result will miss it.

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Assuming placements are finalized (which they're most likely not):

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I'm rust and I know it, whoever predicts me in top 8 is still a Giga Chad in my book.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

D2 - JOADP2022
D3 - G0B
D4 - Laplace
D5 - qqwref
D6 - Hakulyte
D7 - BigHayden1
D8 - TristanJacob9

As for myself, top 8 perhaps? Probably too rusty for any better than that, but we'll see :P

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Damn, looks like I'm right ;_; GGs.

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I predict I will make it the farthest I have ever made it this tournament without meaning to

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I predict that I am kicked out at Round 3.

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me 2

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My predictions for top 3 are as followed. I dont really know anyone in D2 or D3 lol
D3:
1st Toxicity783

D4:
1st Dolletta,
2nd OcarinaBoi
3rd InstaKill195

D5:
1st Frostwind47
2nd Knerves
3rd M0nkeyz


D6:
1st jacobvl39
2nd Clarityfps
3rd XJ-9

D7:
1st TheTrueXfish
2nd ToonE156
3rd Klarion

D8:
1st TristanJacob9
2nd AnMaO
3rd Matthia

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

I have entered the D6 fray, feel free to update your predictions.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

I'm swinging for the fences, going to attempt to take home a W in D4

Can't seem to AAA this file to save my life though, 16 blackflags later

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Looking forward to the competition lad, let’s do our best!

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Well now that I’m d6. I predict I almost make it to r3 but at the final hour ppl improve their scores and I get eliminated

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I'm only back to throw everyone's d3 predictions out the window

catch these wings

D4 HBar

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I predict that I’ll attempt the Wendy’s Discount again and fail

Tune into the Discord VC tonight at 8:45 server time

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After Round One (green representing new players in predictions):

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

I predict that i am out this round because lol 90 to 93 jump is too big. It was nice while it lasted...for 1 round. XD

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I predict that i am going to DIE in the later rounds, but if i somehow win (in which thats like a 0.00000001% chance), then that'll be cool, i guess-

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My prediction is that I'll get banned for going on a rant about the JS file that eventually eliminates me from the tournament.

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I predict myself getting fuck all on Luocha's banner and be hardstuck at MoC 6 until I get a bailu or march e6

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Hey you reading this, stop browsing the forums and get back to the grind. You can do it, I believe in you. I predict you will do better than you expected.

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Will take a miracle lol
I feel like my score is very good on this file...

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got Luocha on my second pull the day the banner dropped

Good luck

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Got him on my first 10 since silver wolf lmao

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because you never pull you stellar/ pass hoarding fug lol

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this aggravates me on a spiritual level LMAO i am literally hardstuck on MoC 7 last cycle bc they wipe out my HP pool so damn quickly, even with strategic march shielding and freezes.

65 pulls in still getting jack shite.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

This is the year Puzzler64 finally wins D2. It's happening.

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LET'S GOOOO PUZZLER!!!!

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as someone who avoids gacha games like the plague, this is literally alphabet soup

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any hobby-specific terminology will be alphabet soup to ppl outside the loop.

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really now?

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Top four, in no particular order outside of first

DIVISION TWO

Puzzler64
DeltaNein
awesomebox
CobaltZeroni19

DIVISION THREE

megadrive7
Mumei_Nana
Toxicity783
G0B

DIVISION FOUR

benny58624
Laplace
InstaKill195
nito kun

DIVISION FIVE

Frostwind47
jahx
keyslayer101
DDRNSTPMGMX

DIVISION SIX

Mkdasher
XJ-9
E-B-E
Rushyrulz

DIVISION SEVEN

Deamerai
Klarion
Psycast
Devilchilly

DIVISION EIGHT

TristanJacob9
Matthia
AnMaO
XxNewson1234xX

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Back from overseas travel. Predictions after Round 2:

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

I will try to predict the top 5 of every division, starting now right before round 3 ends.

Beginning of round 4 (Predictions are ordered):

D2
s1rnight
Puzzler64
awesomebox
DeltaNein
TheBossTim

D3
that.one.animatronic
Charsiaha Official
Ognandi
Toxicity783
CaptainMan35100

D4
InstaKill195
special666
Laplace
Masquerade of Shadow
benny58624

D5
keyslayer101
jahx
DDRNSTPMGMX
WhatWhat123
canid

D6
Superfreak04
Gilly G
Hairy Cabbage
XJ-9
Gradiant

D7
Deamerai
Judiciousity
TheTrueXfish
--dragon--
Devilchilly

D8
TristanJacob9
AnMaO
Matthia
Zoobin4
UnityBoi

Each round, I will make adjustments to any of my predictions that did not survive, and will color-code the ones that have, using different colors depending on how many rounds they stayed in.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Predictions after Round 3:

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

I predict that this is the last round I survive. UnityBoi make Quebec proud! You now represent us! Hahaha~

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

heres how tox can still win

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Oops, I suck at copy-pasting lmfao (thanks Elite Ninja for bringing this up). D4 Predictions are now fixed.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Another upset incoming

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D4 prediction
#1 - InstaKill195
#2 - special666
#3 - Laplace

And myself just not getting into the top 3 at #4 :D
In my last post I had Laplace at #1, but I've seen those other 2 players getting great scores on higher difficulty non-tournament files since then.
Not going to adjust my predictions for other divisions since I haven't really kept up with them.

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Beginning of round 5 (Predictions are ordered):

D2
s1rnight
Puzzler64
awesomebox
DeltaNein
TheBossTim

D3
that.one.animatronic
Charsiaha Official
Ognandi
Toxicity783
CaptainMan35100

D4
InstaKill195
special666
Laplace
Masquerade of Shadow
benny58624

D5
keyslayer101
jahx
DDRNSTPMGMX
WhatWhat123
canid

D6
Superfreak04
Gilly G
Hairy Cabbage
XJ-9
Gradiant

D7
Deamerai
Judiciousity
TheTrueXfish
--dragon--
Devilchilly

D8
TristanJacob9
AnMaO
Matthia
Zoobin4
UnityBoi

Re: 16th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
 

Predictions after Round 4: