9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

You know the drill. List your top 3/5/8/16 for each division. :twisted:

I'll make my list later.

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hype

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countless complaints about sandbagging

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DayMan951

I don't know if I'll make a list, but I'll be sure to try to predict the top 3 of some divisions, heh.

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Way to make the thread early jeezzzzzzzzzz

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Charu
This isn't twg mang

Also, Jame May for erry division

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

How are we supposed to do this when no one is placed yet...

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Say gamma wins D7 and you get credits.

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That's part of the suspense, no

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d7
gammablaster

d6
gradiant

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

too early to call d7 cuz there are still some obvious favorites who haven't reggie'd yet

beary for d6 though (if he isn't in d5)

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lol if Beary is in D5, i quit. FOREVER.

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ugh...d6 is gonna be tough though cuz i feel like d7 is already going to be crammed with good players (unless they make it 16+ ppl in d7)

no way to tell anything without knowing placements tbh eze

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I vote for Kilgamayan in D6, ~Zeta~ in D7, and Shashakiro in D8! XD

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Is there any way to even see the list of participants before the official tourney sign-up list post is updated? Without the list, pretty much no way I can do this.

Samurai7694 is my guess for D7, and if he's not in it, then TC_Halogen.
I'm going to win D4 lolololololol.
Dunno about the rest.

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Nobody Wins






wise words by BerzerkereE

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Foxfire has a great chance at winning D6, i just hope i dont get the boot first round.

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Zeta more than likely won't be participating

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Pretty much this.

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i think i'll wait till placements to post my predicitions

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I think its gonna be a tough call for d7, prolly gamma or dossar.

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I left a bunch of spots open for when the placements are official.

D7
GammaBlaster- He got to D7 pretty fast (well he probably plays a lot of SM, but from what I've seen of him, he's really good (especially that PSMWWTM AAA)).
D6
Tim Allen
D5
_Fluttershy_- He is insane at this game. I'm sure he'll make it far in D5.
D4
ll Sephirothll
D3
loop123456
D2
either Xiv, myself, or evanescence_death4ever
D1
Deidara837

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I signed up for some reason. I'll prolly just get D6ed and lose in round 1

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If I'm put in D2, I may actually have a chance. If I'm D3, I'll get roflstomped.

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I will post my predictions here when placements are up.'

D7
D6
D5
D4
D3
D2
D1

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

D7
Gotta watch out for Dossar, OWA, Dynamo, Eze and many other players in this. If I get spammed with split rolls or receive a La Campanella/Winter Wind Etude clone...
D6
Beary.
D5
Gradiant.
D4
n/a
D3
n/a
D2
n/a
D1
n/a

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

GammaBlaster I can definitely see getting Top 3, and maybe 1st place depending on how the files work out. I probably wouldn't have gotten 1st in the 6th official if do i smile was the last round instead of Rave7, haha.

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

D7:
1. DossarLX ODI
2. GammaBlaster
3. L.B.D.D
4. Dynam0
5. One Winged Angel
6. EzExZeRo7497
7. smartdude1212
8. TC_Halogen

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

lol why does everyone think beary's gonna win d6

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I think Eze's predictions are good in regards to D7 at the top. I'd watch out for smartdude, though... 1-0-0-1 Unconnected, AAA on Shrooms, 5g on do i smile/Rave7, 1g on Winter Wind Etude (when the FUCK?)...

My goal is to get top 5, but holy shit SM has destroyed my FFR skill, lol <3

This is what I expect to happen (keep in mind, I know the song line-up as the host AND can see the current sign-ups that I know will be D7!):
1st: DossarLX ODI
2nd: L.B.D.D (assuming he doesn't get removed from the tournament for being an asshat; I would REALLY like to see Anaru play fair and nice with others :\)
3rd: GammaBlaster/smartdude1212
4th: smartdude1212/GammaBlaster
5th: One Winged Angel
6th: Dynam0
7th: EzEzZeRo7497
8th: TC_Halogen

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

Don't worry we can have our FFR skills destroyed together by SM

EDIT: Only reason why I put smartdude so low on that list is because he's in Russia and he's probably not in the best of conditions to play anyway lol

nvm I take it back I'm looking at his replays atm and they're fucking good, minus Freedom Dive

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also forgot to say this

fuck spinny/snakey polyrhythmic endings

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

ShinodaLX_ODI for D7.
UStaiain Bolt for D6.
Bearynator for D5.
NewUsername D1-D4.

More seriously, waiting for placement list.

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If Staiain joins he'd roll over D7 lol

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D7 - EzExZeRo420<3 (prolly dossar tho)
D6 - beary420
D5 - Depends on placements heavily
D4 - loop420/danceflashrevo
D3-D1 - sandbagger420 through sandbagger422

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..

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ok well I predict more than 8 people will make it to round 6 in D7 if it's non-elim because everyone's gay and then I'll stop caring due to a combination of both increased difficulty and conveniently coinciding winter exams

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Well here's my D7 predictions anyways, is samurai not playing this time? :( If he is i'd have him as a possible winner.


D7:

1st place: DossarLX (taking a bit of a gamble here since I'm relying on him to not wuss out at all :P)
2nd place: smartdude1212 (does this guy have a weakness?)
3rd place: L.B.D.D. (this can be way off, wouldn't surprise me if he wins or places 7th or something either)
4th place: GammaBlaster (I think this is about right)
5th place: Dynam0 (still getting used to playing ffr with new setup so meh this could be better or even worse who knows)
6th place: EzExZeRo7497 (another one I could be way off for)
7th place: OneWingedAngel (consistent)
8th place: TC_Halogen (dude fiffer sucks anyways :p)

Also Staiain legitimately deserves to be in D6...he's just way too inconsistent in FFR to be in D7 where it's basically AAA or die for 5+ rounds. I agree that beary probably wont win D6...the gap from low to high d6 is huge so it's a shitty category to find yourself in. I'll guess those when I get to see placements.

okay i think im done editing now rofl

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

While I do sympathize with Staiain's issue with reading FFR, there simply is no possible way for me to put him in D6 with 19-3-0-8 on RATO... it's just not possible.

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I guarantee Staiain's "inconsistency" is by simply not taking a closer look at files

His speed is so far ahead of everyone else he never really had to do that, but FFR has a lot of files with weird-ass transitions with no chord cohesion etc.

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Okay well either Staiain will be eliminated early in D7 or place last from accumulating ~2g every round or he will prove me wrong and win the whole damn thing :P

Also I never said staiain's problem was with reading ffr (that's silly), his problem is consistency and focus. Even in trivial stepmania files I haven't seen many AAA's from him so you need to consider what type of player he is. The fact that he has #1 on rato is outweighed by his inconsistency with less difficult files (the only other D7 scores I can see that he has are Almost There BF and WWE 1-0-0-1 which are both speed biased). He has 35 plays on Beautiful Arrhythmia and ended up with barely an SDG. I feel like a whiner explaining this but I think it's like he hasn't proven himself in all aspects of the game to be D7 yet. Throw him in D6 and I'm sure it will be a much more even match.

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Lawn Wake XI is a perfect example of what I mean. Someone could be able to do really fast stream but still not be able to hit all those weird ass color parts properly, I had to take around 30 minutes seeing what the hell was going on and it turns out hitting a few jumps were better than just playing the song over and over hoping to luck out everything

There is a point where physical limitations come into play, and Staiain is way above everyone else in that aspect haha.

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

As thrilling as it is to see my name so high up a few lists, Eze is probably the most correct due to me being in Russia without my usual keyboard.

If the songs have jacks (a la Turbo) or jumptrillable rolls at a slow-ish BPM (a la Husigi 48ths) I'll probably shit the bed because laptop keys (clap).

I'm curious to see what D6 and D7 look like after a few rounds though... I've got no predictions right now.

grind2 & Revo all the way.

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I predict that I'm going to win D5 :3
I also predict samurai wins hands-down D7 unless he's banned for the sick scores he pulled last tourney

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Staiain and dossar will be a pretty good matchup. I wish leonid was in the tourney he was my idol. Say OWA is there any special thing you can do while the tourney is going on (*cough* double credits) :D. But seriously there should be something special during these precious times.

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Absolutely correct here. But we're talking about a tournament division which is either elimination based or cumulative scoring. Either way, it isn't good for a player like Staiain because he will have a hard time in early rounds staying focused and AAAing things, it happened last tourney so why would this be any different? Put him in D7 for skill potential I suppose but he hasn't shown that he can compete with D7 players in tournament situations.

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Staiain in D6 means if he gets to last 3 rounds he should destroy everyone.

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I feel like the big topic here is d4...

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stop wasting top 8 slot predictions on me

top 10 =
doss
eze samurai stai
gamma halogen smartdude dynamo etiennesm owa

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

Hey, I've got a new prediction although probably almost everyone will agree lol. DossarLX ODI will win D7.

D4 is quite a good question but it's really too hard to determine when there are too many people borderline D5 so it's too hard to say who all will be in D4.

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i'll probably be mid d4 or something cause i can't AAA anything slow

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The question here is if he just played the file over and over again without looking at the trouble spots he's getting goods on. My first play on that file was around 4 goods I believe, I also had to look into that one as well. If that is the one with the slowdown rolls, then yes, he definitely needs to look at those parts and play them in isolation before playing the entire song again. Everyone has limited time, and it's more efficient to look in depth over the long run

Look at my playcount on Rave7. Sure, it might "only" be around 30 plays, but if I didn't bother to look into it, imagine how much that playcount would have multiplied by if I just played the file over and over again just hoping to luck out any part I didn't quite know. I spent several hours breaking down Rave7. do i smile was a case where the rolls were just very weird to score on and the 4th wall was entirely luck, that's where I'd have to luck out unfortunately.

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

I don't think many D7 players screenshot patterns or make isolations on 76's...maybe for some wacky stuff like grind2 but come on... a 76?! it's clearly a problem with focus and not whether or not he can read patterns. Actually I don't even have the luxury of using the isolation feature because r^3 is so laggy. Staiain tends to avoid pattern manipulation anyways which is probably another thing working against him.

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

having your fps cut in half really hurts

i run r3 on 60 fps and when i play 30 fps engine i drop goods ErryDaye

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Legacy engine 4 lyfe! (actually no, r^3 was sick when it worked, rip)

Also I'll stop speaking for stai in this thread, sry :p

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i will make it to round 2 or 3 in d5. i can dooooo it!

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i guess beary is winning d6 :?

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Who's Beary

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Beary boosted hard in like d3 or something last tournament, he/she is pretty good :)

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Alloyus to win D7 ;)

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alloyus to hopefully not get last d7 xD

(thank you though <3)

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Dw Alloyus, I'll take last for you!

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

will there be subdivisions on the official hehe. I kind of want a chance against D5 peeps

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alloyus pls swin D7 lps i m rotting 4 ui

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yeiss e

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D6 or D7. That is the question.

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tc_pr0 for d5 lol

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There won't be flights/sub-divisions.

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Eva for D0!!!!

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Will try to shoot for round 3/4

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Eva for D9!!!!!! :D

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no u'll shoot for the round i tell u to shoot for :evil:

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Dangggggggg--Someone's got faith!

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Always!! :D You'll do fine Eva

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the circlejerk is strong

get a room you two

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

MY PREDICTION!!!


Vince "Halfy" Halfstep will lose all 700,000 credits on which he bet on me to win.


I also gave him about 50,000 so he won't go completely bankrupt.

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We Are Shinoda

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dShinoda

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spoiler: underscoreman wins d6.

everything else I have no clue, excited to see all of the placements!

Re: 9th Official FFR Tournament - Predictions Thread
 

swag yolo?