Old 03-19-2020, 07:40 AM   #3781
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

People good at this forum, is a post you're creating gone if you accidentally X out or is there a way to restore it?
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Old 03-19-2020, 07:49 AM   #3782
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

both annoyed and not totally surprised at maple's flip. i had them as a town read for some time so the flip bears that out. claim play still completely stupid what what

i don't think the zucker wagon is pure and cole completely clearing it rubs me the wrong way. the rest of his content can bring him up to null. still not convinced he isn't trying to clear a partner or two by ignoring the wagon entirely

i don't believe phil is the deep wolf. much as i hate meta arguments in anon games, the 'i do not ever bus' posts felt genuine to me and i'm willing to believe them. if he makes it to endgame i'll absolutely revisit this but for now i'm content to believe he is town

punchy's eod definitely gross, trends them down for me
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Old 03-19-2020, 08:05 AM   #3783
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

unless people are saying its cole/rolf/agent s
which I don't think people are saying

then there's at least one (almost certainly 2) wolves in the very awkward zone for me
and people still seem pretty focused on those top three names when I think there's likely to be just one wolf there (since rolf/agent s still makes no sense to me)
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:11 AM   #3784
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

maybe I'm just wrong on flurry or something
Maple flipping town was honestly kind of huge
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:15 AM   #3785
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Cherry View Post
both annoyed and not totally surprised at maple's flip. i had them as a town read for some time so the flip bears that out. claim play still completely stupid what what

i don't think the zucker wagon is pure and cole completely clearing it rubs me the wrong way. the rest of his content can bring him up to null. still not convinced he isn't trying to clear a partner or two by ignoring the wagon entirely

i don't believe phil is the deep wolf. much as i hate meta arguments in anon games, the 'i do not ever bus' posts felt genuine to me and i'm willing to believe them. if he makes it to endgame i'll absolutely revisit this but for now i'm content to believe he is town

punchy's eod definitely gross, trends them down for me
I don't know, I had a moment of "this is not really a buss if it's the only wagon".

I keep reevaluating Phil from time to time, but I never really got any closure out of it.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:17 AM   #3786
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

probably just shooting too high with that

I'm kind of just expecting to hear more from the replacements

if one more person died, I'd be kind of nervous for the 24 hour switch
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:22 AM   #3787
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

I'm kind of reevaluating Cole after noticing that he seems to know who multiple players are.

It makes me wonder if he knew who Maple was and if he was like voluntarily voting there anyway.

I know I voted Maple too, but I kind of gamed myself with the wifom claim and I really wasn't sure what to think of Agent S here.

I guess me not going yolo cfd here might have been bad here because I kind of felt near the end that I was likely to be wrong.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:23 AM   #3788
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Cole is definitely wrong about at least one player, probably two
dunno if that helps you at all
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:24 AM   #3789
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

who would you have yolo cfd?
punchy with Julian?
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:24 AM   #3790
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Phil View Post
unless people are saying its cole/rolf/agent s
which I don't think people are saying
Nah, that's basically how I feel at this rate.
My shot was initially on Rolf, but I switched to Agent S because feel his flip solves Cole.

Alas.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:25 AM   #3791
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Agent S
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:26 AM   #3792
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Reminder as well that lynching low-posters wins games, especially here and especially recently.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:27 AM   #3793
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Phil View Post
who would you have yolo cfd?
punchy with Julian?
I would have moved to Agent S. It was already 1:00 when I noticed the swap.

I have no idea what he would have flipped, but Maple was closer to be town in my mind based on tone.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:29 AM   #3794
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Boomer View Post
Reminder as well that lynching low-posters wins games, especially here and especially recently.
ok this does actually reassure me a bit

I still think its pretty weird for agent s and rolf to be together but w/e
sounds like a problem for future Phil
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:30 AM   #3795
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Phil View Post
who would you have yolo cfd?
punchy with Julian?
Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Isabelle View Post
Vote Count:
3/18 @ 00:00

00:59 = good
00:00 = bad

==============

Maple [6]
Agent S, Cole, Mathilda, Flurry, Rolf, Apollo

Agent S [5]
Tank, Punchy, Maple, Julian, Phil

Rolf [1]
Fauna

Flurry [1]
Cherry

Cole [1]
Boomer


Let Xiz know if this is right or not. Will flip in a few minutes if no contest.
You made me go nani for a moment.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:34 AM   #3796
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Alrighty this is gonna be briefer than it was originally because Iím doing half of this again for the second time.

Basically, as I mentioned earlier, I believe our three wolves are in the following six people: Agent S, Apollo, Cole, Punchy, Rolf, Tank

Cole

Cole had a strong entrance but straight off the bat he essentially cleared the people on Zucker's wagon. Not just the initial 4, but the whole lot. I think if Cole was scum, thereís a good chance he has 1 or 2 partners in this pool. For reference, this is Rolf and Tank.

(on a separate note, this is me tinfoiling, but this post below from Cole looks a lot like he made it with the knowledge that Phil is town. Otherwise why would he care if someone thinks he is scumreading them?)

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Cole View Post
i do not see myself pushing phil here

i do not see the bus as likely

i figured i should make that clear now since i am only dropping in and do not want phil to think i am scum-reading him
Anyway, Cole defends Rolf quite frequently throughout his time here, stating he does not understand where peoples scum reads come from.

Thinks some of Tankís posts are fluff, and doesnít like tanks opinion that the fakeclaim thing Phil was trying to pull off was risky.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Cole View Post
Rolf and Tank never w/w i feel based on the tone of their bacn-and-forths
Mentions Punchyís posts a few times in a favourable way but hates their d0 vote.

Chrissy time, has this weird post out of nowhere about Rolf

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Chrissy View Post
Oh also hi Rolf, how ya been?
Everything else was fluff

Overall, there is no one in my list that Cole COULDNĒT be partners with.

My spicy take is Cole/Rolf/Tank

Tank

Tank has a huge back and forth with Rolf on D0, however, no one else was really paying any attention to it. After d0, Tank more or less dropped it, mentioning it every now and then but not pushing hard at all. I donít think thereís any reason this canít be W/W

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Tank View Post
agent s feels like someone who could be leading thats choosing not to
Not really sure what to make of this, feels more commentary than an opinion

Calls Apollo and Agent S towny

Not much to go on but my spicy take is Rolf/Tank together, Iíd probably lean Agent S to be with them based on Tankís ISO

Punchy

Was pretty against Apollo from the start, not liking the quote train he did of himself. Votes Apollo pretty early.

Throws Chrissy(Cole) Into his 3 picks for Vigi. Seems reckless for a wolf to do to a partner. Further scumreads after this instance. I donít think Cole/Punchy are W/W

First reads list puts Rolf and Agent S as town, Apollo as scum (Chrissy/cole and Tank at null)

Tags onto an interaction between Rolf and Apollo and sides with Rolf saying Apollo should play more seriously if he wants to be taken seriously.

Later states Apollo is trending up.

I think the only person Punchy canít be partners with is Chrissy/Cole

My guess would be Punchy/Rolf/Agent S

Rolf

Iíve already gone over Rolf and Tanks interactions

Rolf seems genuinely frustrated at Apollo for all the jokes he was making, making it impossible for Rolf to do a genuine read on him. Later says itís completely fair that Apollo votes for Rolf for an information lynch?

Also puts Chrissy (Cole) in his 3 picks for vigi. Again, reckless for a wolf at this stage of the game.

Scum reads Agent S for his posting style being similar to Plop as a wolf last game

Donít think Rolf can be partners with Cole or Agent S

Doing this ISO on Rolf makes me want to townread him

Rolf/Tank/Apollo

Apollo

Does a really dodgy early reads list, townleans essentially everyone, except for Tank and Punchy who are nulls. Also probably the first person to townread Chrissy

Mindmelds with Agent S over his read of Flurry. Copies Agent Sí reads on Molly as well much later in the thread

Seems to ask other people a lot what he should be thinking of tank

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Apollo View Post
Hot take: the wolf team is Eugene, flurry, and rolf
Besides listing him in his early reads list, Iím pretty sure this is the first time Apollo mentions Rolf at all.

He later states Rolf is one of his preferred lynches. Still no reasoning, until he says its to help him solve other people. Seems like a pretty wishy washy excuse to push someone towards a lynch.

More in depth reads list says he townreads Agent S, Scumreads Chrissy(Cole) because he thinks sheís faking being a new player???? , Chucks Tank in top 3 town, punchy and rolf null,

The play has been all over the place enough that nobody COULDNT be Apolloís partner.

Apollo/Agent S/Tank

Agent S

First reads list puts Punchy as town, Chrissy(Cole) as null, scumleaning Rolf

Second reads list puts Apollo as a null for not contributing much, Chrissy(Cole) still at null, Punchy and Tank as town, Rolf as scum

Leans Apollo and Punchy more town than before, stating theyíre contributing a lot. This is in contrast to Apollo not contributing at all earlier. Also still has Apollo in top 3 wolves.

Loves Punchy after doing an ISO

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Agent S View Post
I'm thinking Julian/Mathilda/Apollo. Swap Rolf in whether Julian flips red or not.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Agent S View Post
I'd be ok for either a Molly or Mathilda lynch. I'm alright with benching my shit with Julian for now.
Swaps Apollo out of his top 3 with no reasoning

Final reads list puts Punchy as town, Apollo, Tank and Cole at Null and Rolf at Scum.

Has Rolf in scumleans whole game. Does ISO on Rolf in most recent phase and decides he should not be a target of lynching.

Agent S/Apollo/Punchy

Conclusion

Always do your ISOs in Google Docs so you donít lose all your progress.

My feelings after doing all these is that the one that is most correct is the Apollo/Agent S/Tank world

I currently want to vote between these three. Leaning towards Tank because it would tell me if Iím on the right track or not with a lot of these reads Iíve just made.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:35 AM   #3797
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

I wouldn't have been able to do anything besides Maple -> Agent S considering how votes unfolded.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:35 AM   #3798
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

julian was thinking about going on punchy, but then nothing happened
maybe if someone lead, he'd have done it
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:40 AM   #3799
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

Quote:
Originally Posted by TWG Phil View Post
julian was thinking about going on punchy, but then nothing happened
maybe if someone lead, he'd have done it
I didn't have a reasonable reason to go there.
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Old 03-19-2020, 09:40 AM   #3800
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Default Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]

fauna maybe you explain this in ur bigger post (I haven't read it yet) but why did you put me as town at the end of the day
you seemed to be agreeing with Julian at least a little bit for a sec there
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