TWG CLXXIX: The Third FE Mystery Game Game Thread

[sprucegrit]

Originally Posted by Celirra

anyways uh

if i had to choose between precarious and ffa
I'm like 45/55 with the 55 being towards lynching precarious

The irony for me is that FFA has been gung-ho for killing folk and when pressed Precarious claims a role that kills folk.

[FreezinIce]

Also I heavily agree that a lot of wolves feel lost around midgame or endgame and have trouble hiding it


See: Sunfan in Wifom as the first example I can think of.

[_Zenith_]

Originally Posted by Charu

Before I read more, I'm just gonna stop you right there and say wrong

Correct!

[_Zenith_]

At this point in the phase it's arguable that Prec vs FFA is a straight up 50/50, even though I still advocate for killing Precarious first because I'm going to hold onto my reads and instincts that he is the wolf in the pool until I see him flip.

[Charu]

Originally Posted by FreezinIce

This post is why I kill precarious before ffa here.

It's not about who is acting town and anti town, because holding peoples behavior up to some static standard of optimal play is useless.

Town often doesn't act towny, or play optimally.

It's about connecting cause and effect and seeing if they make sense.

FFAs actions may be garbage but they make sense.

Precarious has behavior all over the place. The progression is very reactionary and feels not natural.

Y'know what, if you want Precarious dead that much, then fine. I'll follow you. The moment he flips as what he says though...

I don't condone FFA's play. He shouldn't even consider those plays if he's not 100% certain that Precarious is the guy we're looking for. Fake claiming as town is as detrimental as you can get and it backfires H A R D when it fails.

Big dicks play be damned. You need to be 100% certain with this stuff. If you're not, you're just being super reckless and wasting town's time.

[Charu]

Precarious

Losing a killing role when we have ITA's isn't as bad as it sounds if Precarious is telling the truth.

[Celirra]

Originally Posted by Charu

Losing a killing role when we have ITA's isn't as bad as it sounds if Precarious is telling the truth.

ye

[FreezinIce]

Let me temper this by saying that i recognize overall FFA has done things detrimental to town and his play has many times skirted the line of policy lynch territory.

However the unique dichotomy we are in right now leads me to chose prec over ffa.

[flashflash account]

yes I was super reckless

I like to think wolf me doesn't take as many risks, because wolf me has all the info and thus can't take actual risks

at this point it's probably better to take my lumps for my behavior day 0 and day 1 and just take the hit, but I thought maybe doing something to flip it around would make up for it if it worked, which it technically didn't because every ITA missed anyway

[FreezinIce]

Semi ninjad by charu lol

[Celirra]

i really need to sleep btw
i might before eod

precarious parking in case i do

[Funnygurl555]

Originally Posted by Celirra

ok heres an alternative

funny uses her funny power on 3 people with 1 of the 3 being in this 3
there's technically at worst a 1/9 chance that we get confirmation which is actually more likely than 14 shots in a row missing

down, but high chance that I'll either get blocked or die sooo

[sprucegrit]

Originally Posted by Celirra

i really need to sleep btw
i might before eod

precarious parking in case i do

You still here? Who was your N1 (first) target again?

[FreezinIce]

Originally Posted by Funnygurl555

down, but high chance that I'll either get blocked or die sooo

Well I can say for certain you won't die.

[Xelicopter]

Originally Posted by _Zenith_

At this point in the phase it's arguable that Prec vs FFA is a straight up 50/50, even though I still advocate for killing Precarious first because I'm going to hold onto my reads and instincts that he is the wolf in the pool until I see him flip.

Oh a 50 50

Who saw that coming

[jessiebessie]

Originally Posted by FreezinIce

This post is why I kill precarious before ffa here.

It's not about who is acting town and anti town, because holding peoples behavior up to some static standard of optimal play is useless.

Town often doesn't act towny, or play optimally.

It's about connecting cause and effect and seeing if they make sense.

FFAs actions may be garbage but they make sense.

Precarious has behavior all over the place. The progression is very reactionary and feels not natural.

I kinda agree with you. If ffa is town that lied to protect himself, his actions were incredibly selfish/shitty, but it kinda aligns with how ffa has been playing all game. He's more on his own side than the town's. This should be dealt with eventually, but we're wolf hunting rn.

Prec's blue claim seemed way too convenient, considering he was facing a bullet from basically the entire town. Claiming blue has essentially become a get out of jail free card in this game, so of course he'd claim blue to save his life.

I need to do some more thinking about what I think about your alignment, freezin.

I'll just say that I'm suspicious of all supposed blues rn. Especially Precarious

[Xelicopter]

Originally Posted by Funnygurl555

down, but high chance that I'll either get blocked or die sooo

Yay to forcing their hands eh

[Celirra]

Originally Posted by sprucegrit

You still here? Who was your N1 (first) target again?

haku, why?

[Xelicopter]

Originally Posted by Celirra

haku, why?

Info being shared rn from blues for town to piece is possibly better to have out so town can piece together more

I think?

Am i like stating the obvious too much

[roundbox]

did anyone even look at tokzic's posts lol