06-16-2009, 09:07 AM | #21 | |
Admiral in the Red Army
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
I don't much care to read all of the posts pointing out how wrong and wacky the platform of the OP is, but Reach said something that I want to comment on:
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That said, I've seen charts around on the Internet that indicate that while the average temperature has risen in recent years, this rise correlates with solar activity or something like that and has no correlation on the advancement of industrialization or the technological age. Basically, I don't believe that it's our fault that the climate is changing, and furthermore, I expect that it's not a problem and merely manifestation of the planet's natural cycle. The issue has merely been sensationalized to an absurd degree, so much so that even if it is entirely anthropogenic, it's still nowhere near as bad as people think. People liken a rather minor shift in temperatures to an enormous emergency, a global catastrophe, when it's nothing of the sort. If it is man-made, then yes, something should be done about it in time, but that time is certainly not urgent. This bull**** green movement is just propaganda that doesn't mean anything. This isn't a ****ing ice age we're talking about here. You know, they're selling movies with "green" keepcases now. You know, the plastic case that a DVD comes in. They just cut out a large portion of the plastic, making the box fragile (and less costly to produce) and claim they're doing it to be green. Or that it's better for the environment. How about bottled water? They sell bottled water in "green" bottles now, but it's the same thing. They make the production cheaper, producing a cheaper product, but charge the same price and pocket the difference. It's just a means to an end for higher profits, you're not helping the environment by buying into this ****. Sorry, I seem to have fallen into a rant there at the end. Points to take away from this post: using esoteric words when simple words work fine is silly, the shift in the climate is minor and easily not even man-made, people have bought into bull**** as a result of the over-sensationalization of what is at best a part of the natural cycle of the planet and at worst a minor problem that likely won't truly heavily impact any of us in our lifetimes.
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06-16-2009, 01:33 PM | #22 | |
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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However, I disagree that it isn't our fault of climate change. While there are many causes of it from nature, I believe that our increase dependence on cars, as well as industrial production, has caused more pollution, which in turn leads to more greenhouse gases. I admit that some of the effects of global warming projected by some seem a bit unrealistic to me (extreme weather and loss of GDP come to mind). Even if does not impact your lifetime, what about the future? What if lack of responsibility and action damages the the next generation? To sum it all up, I agree with Afrobean's statement that many products are being labeled as "green" to increase profit. I do disagree that climate change is not our fault, however, there are many factors to take in consideration too. |
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06-17-2009, 07:05 AM | #23 | ||
Sectional Moderator
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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That being said, also Quote:
I know I often suggest things for you to read, but please, read up on catastrophic risks. I understand it's an imposition on liberties and that the fact that it is a zeitgeist in culture is frustrating, but that does not mean that the concern is worth being contrarian about. You may enjoy this book http://www.global-catastrophic-risks.com/book.html Or the earlier postings of Eliezer Yudkowski on this website http://www.overcomingbias.com Or the postings on this website http://www.lesswrong.com Or really anything done by this school http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/ And no I'm not going to play your game, Afro. Do not argue back, I don't care what you have to say until you've read up on global catastrophic risks. It is worth looking at them as a whole to understand the need to take serious preventative actions. It opens your eyes to the impact and importance, and it often lays it out for you in a Bayesian decision theory format to make it resonant with you that it is in our best economic interests to be proactive. I'm not going to give you an abstract because my suspicion is that you'll pick it apart because of it's lack of comprehensiveness, which is exactly what an abstract strays from. To be perfectly clear, I know better than to argue with you by now because you will pick at the small things and misunderstand what I'm trying to explain and it's better to just suggest a resource for the topical study of what I would impart to you otherwise. And you have a particular method of antagonizing me in to keeping going, which is a frustrating ordeal, so I'm cutting it right here before we go on for 2 pages and I basically just reiterate chunks of things from the above four resources.
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06-17-2009, 07:31 AM | #24 | ||
Admiral in the Red Army
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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But that said, yeah, bias. I care if it affects me directly and I don't think it'll be happening any time soon. Quote:
Luckily I don't feel like putting forth that much effort and really being annoying and also I agree with a lot of what you said so whatevs ps i only even pointed out reach saying anthropogenic because it felt more like he was dropping vocab words to try to dissuade anyone from arguing back and I personally feel that that's a worse tactic than my own tactic of just throwing gobs of words until my opponent just stops trying.
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06-17-2009, 08:32 AM | #25 | ||
FFR Simfile Author
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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Anyone that knows anything about global warming knows what it means, hence its use. Yes, it is a field specific word, but I would use the same technical terminology if I was discussing physics, biology etc. Also, the meaning of this word is relatively easily inferred (Anthro-). Anyway, to address your points: The solar activity hypothesis was essentially disproved years ago. Experts in the field have ruled out dozens of other explanations at this point, and there is relatively little doubt about the fact that humans are, by a large factor, the largest contributor to global warming. There are undoubtedly any number of other factors, but the magnitude of the human factor is so great that the others are...irrelevant. Quote:
Let me put it this way. The climate on this planet is the way it is because of its composition and the interplay between the climate and other factors here on the planet. It's natures elegant dance of physics in all it's beauty. Do you seriously believe that altering the composition of the very atmosphere we depend on will not have future consequences? However, I'll agree with you on one point - people are cashing in on the climate problem in some respects. The problem is ...these things don't address the real cause of global warming. Some of the things like the recent 'Earth day' where people turned off their lights, for example, was a joke. The real problem with addressing global warming is no one wants to do it, because it's inconvenient. It's easy to turn off your lights for an hour, but it's not so easy to completely reshape an industry.
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06-17-2009, 09:03 AM | #26 | ||||
Admiral in the Red Army
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
lol to be totally honest, i figured it out what it meant just because of that 8)
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How much has the average temperature actually risen? How does this change in climate truly correlate with industrialization? And this change in the climate in the last 30 years or whatever it's been, how much total change has there been? How does this compare to other variances in temperature recorded throughout history? Quote:
Our action on the planet isn't helping the planet get any cooler, but I think you overestimate the pull we have over this rock we inhabit. Quote:
ps oh i just remembered something. You said something about correlations with solar activity having been disproven...? This is something I would be interested in seeing, particularly when it makes a lot more sense for me to hear "solar activity cycles and it's on a high cycle lately" than "even though industrialization began a long time ago, pollution only just began causing global warming in the past 30 years and now it is a global catastrophe!" pps they used the word "esoteric" on family guy, so it's not that esoteric, buddy edit: oh crap please dont rip this post apart because i honestly dont think i could will myself into giving a serious reply back edit: lol was stumbling around the wikipedia article for "global cooling" (lol) and came across a chart that I think is pretty funny: In other words, it's about ONE HALF degree celsius warmer now than it was in 1940. Yes, one half degree increase over 70 years prior is SUPER URGENT haha.
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06-17-2009, 09:45 AM | #27 |
Very Grave Indeed
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
L2biology, Afro. There are whole swaths of plant and animal life that find even a 1 degree increase in the average to make life pretty unsustainable. There are reef areas where the entire ecosystem has basically died off because the water got about 1 degree warmer on average over the whole year.
The biggest worry isn't that there's change, it's that if it's going to take adaptation and evolution to deal with an increase of even 1 degree, 2 degrees, the fact that it's .5 degrees in 60 years means if the growth remains linear, it's 1 degree in 120 years, and 10 degrees in 1200 years. This is not urgent for -you- but on Earth Time, that's pretty damn fast, certainly a lot faster than many species are going to be able to easily adapt. |
06-17-2009, 10:59 AM | #28 |
stepmania archaeologist
Join Date: Aug 2005
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
On the other hand, devonin, you could argue that if a species can't deal with a one-degree increase or decrease in temperature, it "deserves" to be extinct (in a Darwininan sense). Considering that an ice age - a perfectly natural and periodic quirk of Earth's weather - can affect temperatures by something like 9 degrees Celsius, I would have to say that any species that dies out because of a tenth of this is just really bad at adapting to new environments. I don't want more species to die out, but I also don't think that it's fair to expect humans to protect such fragile species from extinction when nature would give us no such sympathy if we were in trouble.
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06-17-2009, 01:47 PM | #29 | |||||||
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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Greenhouse gas levels have been going up exponentially since the 1800s. How that effects the temperature can be complicated, but the trend is that it has been rising faster as levels in the atmosphere rise. You wouldn't expect them to rise linearly with industrialization, there would be a lag. Heating of the planet does not happen instantaneously with the introduction of a greenhouse gas. It takes some time for the heat to build up and raise the temperature. Quote:
With respect to potency, sure, that can have an effect, just not in this scenario, since we've ruled it out. At least as a driving factor. It has probably contributed to some degree - there is some evidence that solar radiation could be contributing to recent global warming, but it is in no way the whole picture. Extreme models positing upper limits of contribution from solar radiation say about 50% contribution, but even the authors admit that is ridiculous and severely overestimated. At the same time they rule out volcanic factors entirely and most other options. So, there really isn't any evidence that I have seen to suggest that human factors are not, by far, the largest single contributing factor to global warming, which is what I'm arguing. How much the temperature has actually risen and the predictions for the future can be found in various reports on the internet, IPCC etc. There's a ton of information on this out there. Quote:
Sometimes it does get cooler, and sometimes it does get hotter. I think what you're failing to take into account here is that when this happens species go extinct. And you might think I'm overestimating it, but there isn't a lot of published scientific research that suggests anyone is 'overestimating' anything - rather, most IPCC etc reports are incredibly conservative and the trend has been, if anything, that new research continues to predict more and more extreme future outcomes. Usually when data is collected there are what are called 'confidence intervals', which express statistically how confident we are in the outcome being somewhere between a value x and y. There is a lot of pressure to present in public announcements the value on the lower end of that confidence interval, but that doesn't necessarily reflect reality, as changes are continuing to happen faster than these lower bound estimates predict. Quote:
Also, our behavior is amplifying all of the other factors you continue to mention, hence my use of the word 'driving force'. Greenhouse gas effects everything. (When I say causation, I'm applying the word causation to being the cause of the driving force - There are probably other factors contributing to global warming other than us, but we're certainly the main one and the cause for our future problems, and as such I'll use the word causation. Quote:
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Things aren't just going to magically stabilize if we continue to pump larger and larger and larger amounts of green house gas, among pollutants etc into the atmosphere. It's not just going to be a few species dying off, we're talking about mass amounts of extinction, and don't think for a minute humans are exempt from this. We depend on this planet for resources just like everything else - we are just as much a product of evolution as any other animal, and we only get what the planet gives us.
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06-17-2009, 09:32 PM | #30 |
Banned
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
should the average citizen be concerned about every single specie going extinct? probably not all of them, but it's happened before and nobody really seems to care as it has no short term effect on humanity. its not like the food we raise and cultivate is going extinct since they're under controlled environments. people aren't aware however of the importance of some species going extinct; they're simply not educated enough to care.
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06-17-2009, 09:55 PM | #31 |
Everybody gets one.
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Fuckin space bro
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
I think cell phones are going to destroy humanity, that's my opinion. On another serious note (I'm serious about that first one), our non-renewable resources are going down the crapper, no one's recycling, our ocean is filling up with ****, a meteor is going to rip California a new one, animals are going extinct and no one cares because they don't understand the importance biodiversity, and if a random person read this, he or she wouldn't change anything. Wasting water and electricity is our new job at this point. Global warming is about as serious as H1N1 (swine flu), and from my experience it seems that people who play video games are more likely to be intellectual on these types of subjects. If they're not intellectuals, they're gangsters or wannabe gangsters. If they're something else, it's rare. Currently, cell phones and MTV shows seem to be at the source of most of my problems.
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06-18-2009, 01:18 AM | #32 | ||
Private Messages, please.
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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In seriousness to the topic (not Global Warming) I noticed no one mentioned the advancements in weaponry and other military-based tactics. Those have improved during -our- generation. Maybe not by ourselves but still during our lifetime. Those involve computers which have also improved exponentially. We are now opperating our computers with data chips almost on the microscopic level. Our technological advancements from the first ideas for both the cellular phone and the personal computer have shrunk beyond belief and perform even more functions. Video games aren't the ruination of modern society as a whole. If anything they improve the hand-eye coordination of children and some adults by some bit. And now with the Wii, an active gaming system, you aren't just sitting around blowing stuff up with laser beams and scoring points, you can stand up and play interactive sports against computer AI's or people around the world. Trying to tell anyone that society is on a decline is going to spark a debate of some sort, especially if you try to tell them that we have declined in technology just because teleportation and Mars trips and Moon bases haven't been accomplished yet. Society is advancing at an alarming rate and saying that the school kids of this generation are the ones failing is a complete contradiction. We are still learning and will always have more to learn. But until we've at least finished basic schooling, you can't really expect us to develop something amazing. We leave that to professionals and experts in a certain field. As for your 'txtspk' hatred, well...you can't control everyone can you? If you don't like it, don't use it. It is as simple as that. It doesn't mean we've declined at all or that we've abandoned the English language, it just means we're innovators in finding new ways to express ourselves in a shorter fasion. It's surprisingly simple the more you know. -o24
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06-18-2009, 11:10 AM | #33 | |
Very Grave Indeed
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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The issue isn't whether the species can or cannot adapt to changes, the little ice age fluctuated down and up over 500 years changing less than 1 degree, and we're looking at a linear progression of about 6 degrees over the same timespan. The issue is that the process may be being accelerated by human interactions with the environment, and that things are being sped up -ahead- of the rate at which natural evolution could adapt. |
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06-18-2009, 11:17 AM | #34 |
Snake Princess
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
The real truth about society is that there are more smart people than dumb people but because of the society we are in the dumb ones get the attension so we focus more on them rather than the people who deserve it. So when things in a general standpoint go bad the younger people in the society are blamed they supposedly haven't lived long enough to be intelligent or experienced enough to know right for wrong.
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06-18-2009, 11:32 AM | #35 | |
Very Grave Indeed
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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06-18-2009, 01:53 PM | #36 | ||
Everybody gets one.
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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06-19-2009, 09:31 AM | #37 | ||||||||
Admiral in the Red Army
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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Personally, as long as humanity can survive, I don't much care about anything else. Species go extinct all of the time, and while I would be against directly killing them off, indirectly causing their species to be unable to survive doesn't matter to me at all. Quote:
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Also, I think you said something about the little ice age being a temperature variance of 1 degree. That's not right at all. I can't be assed to find it now, but I think one of the charts I was looking at before said something like 8 degrees average lower during that period than over the average of the rest of recorded history. And 8 degrees still ain't ****. If animals want to die from it being 78 degrees instead of 70 degrees, **** 'em. They deserve to die. Quote:
And working with someone, even knowing them intimately, you may not be aware of how intelligent they may or may not be. Social interaction is a whole other thing from intelligence and it might just simply never show. For example, I know that I'm at least a little above average, but I don't expect any of my coworkers would realize this. But that's just it. People of decent intelligence often never show it or it is squandered. For example, I am here posting, throwing words around on a message board, but do I apply my brain to anything useful? Hell no. ps hi reach i see dat post there but after work i feel ****ty and cannot care enough to even try to actually read it, let alone make a super long, half-serious reply where i throw more words at you.
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06-19-2009, 11:19 AM | #38 |
sunshine and rainbows
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
Afro: Don't get into discussions about IQ with Reach. IQ has a nice history to it, and it boils down it being standardized poorly. I sincerely doubt average IQ is 100 now. It's likely much higher, and I don't think they've re-standardized it so that new average is 100 again.
I guess I'll be devil's advocate here, because the OP has been shot down so utterly and completely, and I suppose I do see something he may be getting at in a more general sense. As a society and culture, I think he feels like we're reaching a point where we've got 'enough', and this means that people aren't trying as much. We're reaching a point where we're entertaining ourselves enough. Kinda like our generation (and the one before it I suppose) is spending time and effort creating technological 'soma' instead of actually going out there and living. As a few people have said, as society, we're not actively trying to get to mars or the moon, or do more space exploration. And their excuse is exactly what I think tinman may be getting at: why bother? This is the attitude and culture that's bothering him. (Although I will say that I strongly believe that population and potential drastic global changes are a very, very good reason why we should seriously be considering expanding our horizons into space.) In order to understand what I *think* his main concern is, pretend that instead of having video games and cell phones, we manufactured pills which make us all feel different, positive emotions, like satisfaction and fulfillment. On the one hand, yeah, that'd be pretty awesome. We could sit here and take pills all day. On the other hand, as a culture, we'd be in total decline. We'd stop trying for goals and desires we used to once have if we could get satisfaction from pills so easily. I think that most people would think that having pills which did that be a very bad thing for our society. He's just seeing cell phones and video games as we'd see pills. You have to remember though tinman, that 1) people work tirelessly making cell-phones and video games. 2) The funnest video games are socially interactive, and if they're not, I think most people like playing them with friends around, and telling them about how cool something was in it. Instead of creating pills, we've created an alternate, virtual or semi-virtual society, and all the same rules which apply to our actions, emotions, and struggles in them are the same ones which apply as in the 'real world'. They are not pills. Also, I can't play devil's advocate about you calling people unintelligent. Intelligence has nothing to do with this, if I have indeed caught onto something you were trying to get at. If I have not caught onto it, then you're not doing your job in defining what it is you're upset about. You've simply answered all the posts with 'you don't understand, **** it'. If we do not understand, it is not us who's at fault. You should be trying to get us to understand. You don't have to argue what everyone says personally, especially if they're missing the point. |
06-19-2009, 11:38 AM | #39 | ||||||
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
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http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/anthropogenic Has the world really come to this? I just used the internet to search a word. People can't be this lazy to use technology if its so fondly praised in this community. Quote:
1 half celcius is a lot considering life on this planet. take the position of the Earth at its current state. Its the only planet that we know of in the entire universe that has life. Planets such as Venus (Venus might not be a great example for this, but whatever) and mars don't have life because they are either to far or to close to the sun. Imagine if we were venus or Mars. We wouldn't be alive. i think ths same thinking can apply to the 1 half celcius which you apparently think is a joke. Imagine it going higher. What will you say then when we all incinerate. I might be exagerating here, but I dont think the possibility of sky rocketing tempertures because of global warming is an exaggeration escpecially since theres evidence pointing that global conditions have risen to a more concerned height. Although Chinese is my first language and english being my second, Im pretty sure that I have enough grasp of the english language to dispute this. If you are contributing, then it means you are part of it, which means in this context what we are talking about, you are cauing the problem. What happened in the 1800s like you said may be something that we had nothing to do with as well as can't do anything about it, but what we can do right now is worry and do what we can now to prevent the current situation from going haywire. In the end, no matter what spectrum of the argument you agree or disagree with, lets just get one thing straight: we are all contribiuting to the global warming problem. Quote:
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But ya... seriously, back to the OP (whatever that means). I can concure with this. I have girl friends that are always on their phones. Whats even funnier is that they are texting their friends who they are walking right beside of them. That to me is funny as hell. Instead of reading books, we play video games. Those who rather not play video games, read books. Its basically the same thing when conveying emotions, storylines and entertainment. Its just what we rather do with our time. I for one rather play video games than read books, but that doesn't really make me feel any dumber. The fact is on the wonderbra situation, its easer to create the wonderbra than to create a teleprtation device. For one thing, our society hasn't reached the point where we can understand or even know how to make a teleporting device. We are still at the basics. Even the idea of fusion energy is reletivly new idea. To me, you may be reading to many science fiction books to assume that we are in a stage that we can teleport anywhere we want. Id have to admit, its a cool idea, but in reality, we just haven't gotten to that point. When it comes to texting, the faster you can text is usually better. Usually when people text, they are outside and on the move. By doing that, you simplify words and make them shorter or text only keywords, but when you put them together, although they might be grammatically incorrect, it still conveys the same message as if it was grammatically correct. Its communications. Basically, even if its incorrect in the formal terms, if someone else can understand whats being said, its mission accomplished. Of course the hope is that people wont use "text" language in school. If thats the case, then we have a serious problem. Youth is a mess right now, but a hope is that they will evolve into manageble serious people that can handle future problems of the world. We can't guarantee this, but we can sure hope. To be honest though, its not as bad as everyone seems to think it is. Last edited by operationstrawbarry; 06-19-2009 at 12:04 PM.. |
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06-19-2009, 12:23 PM | #40 |
Banned
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Re: The General Degredation of Society
dodo birds went extinct. why didn't humans? truth is, not all life is essential for another's survival. maybe if say, cows went extinct. that would probably create a much larger issue. instead, people are making a huge deal out of some random species of bird/lizard/whatever going extinct that nobody's even heard of, and if they're going extinct it's probably because nobody cared enough.
now as far as society goes, I wouldn't exactly say it's degrading socially. technology doubles every year and the sci-fi novels' imaginations are coming true more and more. sure there's a dumpload of retards out there but in most cases that would be due to laziness and society's inventions vegetating youth making them think everything will constantly be given to them (and in some cases this is true). global warming wasn't the main topic back in the 70's; back then it was nuclear winter. now it seems nobody's ever contributing enough to the matter and that we're killing the earth every second. sure there are countless possibilities and disasters that could happen, but the truth is nobody really knows what will happen. people are still gathering data and as long as they still are, we're never really sure how close this disaster is from happening nor the intensity of it. still, people shouldn't bitch and whine about the ozone layer being torn to **** and pollution "killing" mother earth; you're still contributing thus it's still your fault. |
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