Old 07-13-2019, 11:55 AM   #4121
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

It's not a worse-than-normal shot statistically and it's actually a good shot because it knocks a name off the town hitlist without taking up a day.

The intuitive shooting strategy is to shoot at targets that are 50+% wolf but more often than not that means you just don't shoot (which isn't actually bad because numbers are fucked and stuff but that's a lengthier discussion).
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Old 07-13-2019, 11:59 AM   #4122
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

It's really hard to pin numbers on hunches and then analyze whether or not you should shoot, but in general I'd say players overvalue how much their hunches actually effect the mechanics of a shot and are quick to shoot in the wrong place and slow to shoot somewhere where it helps, in fear that they won't have the shot to shoot that wolf tell that'll definitely happen before you die.
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Old 07-13-2019, 11:59 AM   #4123
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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It's not a worse-than-normal shot statistically and it's actually a good shot because it knocks a name off the town hitlist without taking up a day.

The intuitive shooting strategy is to shoot at targets that are 50+% wolf but more often than not that means you just don't shoot (which isn't actually bad because numbers are fucked and stuff but that's a lengthier discussion).
Jesus Christ do I not understand the strategies of this game.
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:03 PM   #4124
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

Like, when H&H died I was like "That makes sense to me. Lacking other info on who to kill, get rid of the only person who could anchor a confirmed town group." and then several people were like "What a weird kill that does not make sense to me" and I'm just kinda like "wtf"
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:03 PM   #4125
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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fox fire results showed someone who I guess is investigative immune because I didn't get their name? as well as a visitor presumably responsible for the save. Combine this with daikyi being the obvious wolf target (especially considering they would have had negative indication that daikyi was saveable as of last night) and I can only infer this is what happened.
I presume you aren't saying the name for safety reasons, but i'd like to ask if the person you could see is who i'm thinking it is. Cus if it is we can practically lock them town for the save. dont wanna say much about this for obvious reasons. just nod of the head and move on.
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:09 PM   #4126
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

I'm actually not in agreement that ic was a particularly weird kill in this game, because knowing where a town is can be pretty useful in a game where almost everybody seems to have night actions.

But in a vanilla game knowing a confirmed town doesn't really spread anything because there's no real way to associate. It's a parking spot for doctors if they need it (but it becomes pretty wifom because the ic probably won't be targeted) and one less person town needs to be paranoid about, but actually isn't particularly harmful to wolves otherwise.
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:10 PM   #4127
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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I presume you aren't saying the name for safety reasons, but i'd like to ask if the person you could see is who i'm thinking it is. Cus if it is we can practically lock them town for the save. dont wanna say much about this for obvious reasons. just nod of the head and move on.
don't have any idea who you're thinking tbh. would an iso on you give me a clue?
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:10 PM   #4128
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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I'm actually not in agreement that ic was a particularly weird kill in this game, because knowing where a town is can be pretty useful in a game where almost everybody seems to have night actions.

But in a vanilla game knowing a confirmed town doesn't really spread anything because there's no real way to associate. It's a parking spot for doctors if they need it (but it becomes pretty wifom because the ic probably won't be targeted) and one less person town needs to be paranoid about, but actually isn't particularly harmful to wolves otherwise.
Okay so my instincts aren't -completely- off base here at least. That's good.
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:12 PM   #4129
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

and if you're thinking gold stinger the answer is I actually don't know.
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Old 07-13-2019, 12:13 PM   #4130
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

but I don't think so.
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Old 07-13-2019, 03:38 PM   #4131
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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- Any and all non-town teams have access to daychat. This will be done ONLY on discord.

from the OP

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have to believe there's a wolfchat

there just has to be one
If FG edited a 'don't' in between teams and have, i would have laughed hard.
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Old 07-13-2019, 03:47 PM   #4132
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

I havent seen any information come into the thread regarding a nk redirect to dafty, or an item use to kill dafty for that sweet sweet town cred so my assumption is that dafty really was the wolf target. Otherwise, I would also believe that daikyi would have been the target last night.
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Old 07-13-2019, 03:48 PM   #4133
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

"I will [not] accept any PMs over Discord or FFR" would also have been a choice.
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Old 07-13-2019, 03:51 PM   #4134
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

Or "Anyone who is unable to make [500] posts per day will result in a modkill"
Or "Anyone who is [able] to make 5 posts per day will result in a modkill"

I hope Funny is regretting missing some truly heinous ways to screw with us.
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Old 07-13-2019, 03:53 PM   #4135
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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Or "Anyone who is unable to make [500] posts per day will result in a modkill"
Or "Anyone who is [able] to make 5 posts per day will result in a modkill"

I hope Funny is regretting missing some truly heinous ways to screw with us.
I really want to believe that she tried these and the host told her no.
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Old 07-13-2019, 03:54 PM   #4136
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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I really want to believe that she tried these and the host told her no.
It actually gives me an idea for a game where there's no town group chats, but you're allowed to PM one-on-one outside the thread, and everybody can only make like, 10 thread posts a day.
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Old 07-13-2019, 04:26 PM   #4137
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

Today's been quiet, I wonder if people are getting burned out.

This game's up to almost 4200 posts and there's still what, 15 people alive?

The last several -entire games- were 661, 2400, 1600, 608, 695, and we're here on day 4.
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Old 07-13-2019, 04:30 PM   #4138
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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I'm gonna go back to work in 30 minutes and hope a stack of 12 packs knocks me out
this did not happen
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Old 07-13-2019, 04:35 PM   #4139
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

So we've got 15 people alive. A lynch today puts it to 14. If there's a successful night kill it drops to 13, and we transition to 24 hour days instead of 48. Can we like....petition to switch to 24 hour days then -anyway- even if the night kill fails?
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Old 07-13-2019, 04:56 PM   #4140
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Default Re: TWG 187: Senpai [Game Thread]

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also shame on fuccen you sunfan for townreading from itas assuming that lost wolves were known. in your fe game, i as a wolf, literally used that as ammo to get town cred LOL. the 15% is so worth it when you know one of your team is going to die anyways, so you get cred when they flip, and if you kill them you get huge cred. like i think exactly 0 people were against dafty kill otherwise
I did forget about this
also ITAs were 10% this game
also we don't know what they were

so yeah I should probably bin this read
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