TWG CLXXII - TWGood End!

[TWG Ike]

lets be real i think roundbox is likely scum no matter what but haku is conf nontown

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

fwiw, I very hardly trust reasoning that starts with "if I was really a wolf, I would have done xyz because it was easy"

it's too easy to make some bullshit up about that

AA, you were realistically forced to claim after Raeko did

I claimed before her...?

It's easy to make up bs yeah

This is on the level of game throwing if I fakeclaim though

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by Charu

Except that's not how it happened.

AA came out first, mellon's the one that countered.

sorry, that's off

AA was forced to claim because Haku said Raeko had a killing power

[Charu]

Originally Posted by TWG Ike

theres a 0% chance haku is town, he's either MVX self, MVX scum, or starting scum

hes the best and safest lynch today

I feel everyone is not listening, omg, I'm gonna bash my head against the wall.

Town, you're playing lottery if you choose to lynch Haku.

I already outlined why.

Originally Posted by Charu

Dangerous, yes, but like I said, with the scenarios given and the logic...

I feel like a mellon lynch is the correct lynch. No need to go the "safe" route.

That's just me though, but I understand. If we lynch the "safe" person, then...

Depending on if Haku was telling the truth, ... backpack dies and then we're back to square one.

If Haku is lying and is actually wolf aligned MVX, then assuming AA is telling the truth, they get another shot and will shoot mellon. Otherwise, if Mellon is telling the truth, backpack dies and then we're back to square one... AGAIN

If Haku is lying and is actually a wolf (and I swear to god... if I see this... I'm yelling at Shadow), then... the real MVX is lying for some reason. Depending on what kind of wolf Haku is, MVX will gain that power, because lets face it, there's no way a town-sided MVX is in this game anymore. BUT that's only if they're neutral. If they're MVX-Wolf, then backpack dies and... well we're ONCE AGAIN back in square one, just now with a wolf dead. If they're MVX-Self, depending on what flip, they may, or may not, get a killing role and will probably shoot the "claimer" (Which is a 50/50 due to backpack) and then backpack dying anyways because wolves will shoot him. ONCE AGAIN back in square one.

...

So, with that... I think those are the possible scenarios?

Originally Posted by Charu

Actually, no wait, if this is what's happening, then this is actually best case. If Haku wolf-aligned, then AA gets another shot, pop pop, two wolves down, one wolf left.

Alright, I think I like the Haku lynch, but that's ONLY if this scenario is happening.

Feels like taking a dare tbh. Is this really "safe", lmao./

Please READ this.

[TWG Jade Harley]

Game will possibly be updated late due to IRL issues, however, let me make it clear.

Posting restrictions are still in effect for EoD

:01 gets a warning
:02 results in a modkill

No exceptions

[inDheart]

reading the scum roles again hhhhh

i think AA should be doing that as well but it makes me hopeful?

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

sorry, that's off

AA was forced to claim because Haku said Raeko had a killing power

Still can claim vt and say I was blue covering

You can say now you wouldn't believe it but if I were wolf and had said it I think you would

The reason I didn't claim RIGHT away is because I entertained the thought that haku was just lying and Mellon was town

I wanted to see if she would claim vt in which case I snap vote haku

But she didn't show up forever and yeti kept pressing me so I thought I might as well give town time to think

[TWG Ike]

i mean AA abstaining from the VT pile for so long made it clear to me he was either scum or PR and DBP claim meant he was eternalisk or scum

(this is where i toss out some lol wifom that AA would've died last night if i was scum and he was vig)

[AragakiAyase]

there is the distinct possibility that both haku and mellon are wolves which would be loltier

[TWG Ike]

Originally Posted by AragakiAyase

Still can claim vt and say I was blue covering

You can say now you wouldn't believe it but if I were wolf and had said it I think you would

The reason I didn't claim RIGHT away is because I entertained the thought that haku was just lying and Mellon was town

I wanted to see if she would claim vt in which case I snap vote haku

But she didn't show up forever and yeti kept pressing me so I thought I might as well give town time to think

how does mellon claiming VT make you vote haku lol when she's just piling in to the town pile

[inDheart]

charu, being "back to square one" isn't a bad thing

we're at potential mylo

we will now always be at potential mylo/lylo no matter how it shakes out

not guaranteed mylo/lylo; in theory we can end up ahead but i'm not sure we can know that

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by TWG Ike

how does mellon claiming VT make you vote haku lol when she's just piling in to the town pile

because haku is lying? actually no she could be scum I guess, I didn't htink about that last night

[mellonxcollie]

Originally Posted by AragakiAyase

there is the distinct possibility that both haku and mellon are wolves which would be loltier

there is the distinct possibility that haku and AA are wolves which is... probably true

they are both anti-town anyway

where is roundbox at :thinking:

[TWG Ike]

roundbox's teammate is and has been bussing him

[TWG Ike]

did we ever get conf if MVX-self counts for gamma's shot?

[inDheart]

Originally Posted by TWG Ike

did we ever get conf if MVX-self counts for gamma's shot?

self seers antitown so seems legit

[Charu]

Originally Posted by TWG Ike

did we ever get conf if MVX-self counts for gamma's shot?

That's a negative.

We don't know if their neutral stance means if they're town or wolf aligned.

[AragakiAyase]

so what's happening

[AragakiAyase]

is the consensus lynch haku

[AragakiAyase]

if it were possible would we try to joint with 3rd?