10-9-2013, 12:40 AM | #1221 |
Snivy! Dohoho!
Join Date: Mar 2006
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
Are we allowed to show PM's in this thread? I can show you the PM Xiz gave me.
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10-9-2013, 12:41 AM | #1222 |
new hand moves = dab
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
noooooooooooo do not do that
erm someone might want to edit/delete that post |
10-9-2013, 12:42 AM | #1223 |
new hand moves = dab
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
not you though charu. you do not edit/delete that post. maybe manti will edit/delete that post.
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10-9-2013, 12:45 AM | #1224 |
Snivy! Dohoho!
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
Oh, alright. But you wouldn't know if I would just edit it and manipulate it anyways, so I don't think that question is that bad.
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10-9-2013, 12:46 AM | #1225 |
Snivy! Dohoho!
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
Sorry by the way. =/
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10-9-2013, 12:47 AM | #1226 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
np np np
moving on, I THINK YOU ARE A WOLF CHARU |
10-9-2013, 12:47 AM | #1227 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
maybe the town should play rock paper scissors over webcam to decide who gets to pick the next lynch
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10-9-2013, 12:48 AM | #1228 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
ok I'm done. GL TOWN
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10-9-2013, 12:49 AM | #1229 |
Snivy! Dohoho!
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
Well I'm definitely not, and if I can't do that, I really don't know what I can do to convince you.
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10-9-2013, 12:51 AM | #1230 | |
TWG Overlord
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
The question is fine, actually doing it would be a problem.
We need to reassess everything from here. Re-set your thought process and work out confirmed people again from scratch and why you feel they are confirmed. Do the same thing for wolves. Tunnel vision will kill us if we let it.
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10-9-2013, 01:43 AM | #1231 |
TWG Chaos
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
^ This. Don't do it Charu
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10-9-2013, 06:48 AM | #1232 | |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
hello diary, IM AT IT AGAIN!!!
Quote:
so I was thinking. j-rodd, it's cool that we were looking for wolves based on tactics we expect all wolves to use. on mafiascum or wherever that's probably pretty effective. but here I think the styles between players clash a lot. to me, there are too many question marks remaining for us to play super sleuth and flawlessly put every piece correctly into place. instead of playing detective, I think we should play the numbers game, at least for one phase. ----- townies, here's my suggestion. come up with two pairings where you believe STRONGLY that the two players in question are NOT both wolves. set aside those 4, and lynch from the remaining pool. here's why. we have 9 players remaining. j-rodd and I are confirmed town, so that leaves a lynch pool of 7. with each pair as described above, if the link you drew is correct, that pair has either 0 or 1 wolves. worst case: your links are wrong, one pair has 2 wolves, you're probably done for. if you have that much bad data then it probably would've been gg anyway. bleh case: your links are correct. each pair has exactly 1 wolf. 33% chance to hit a wolf out of the remaining pool. still, if you correctly clear one of the remaining 3, odds are then 50% if you coinflip for the final 2 haha. best case: your links are correct, and at least one of the pairs you created has 0 wolves. lynching from the remaining pool gives you 66% or maybe even 100% chance to hit if you lynch randomly from the remaining 3. that's pretty cool. ----- play the odds, we're up all night to get lucky, get one red flip, and play from there. we're playing solitaire at this point; there's a lot of shit under the surface that we can't see, but we can still set ourselves up to have the best possible chance of winning. |
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10-9-2013, 06:50 AM | #1233 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
if I were to pick two of these "mutually exclusive" pairs right now, I would probably go with
V/Manti are not both wolves melloncollie/jayde are not both wolves but you decide that for yourselves. |
10-9-2013, 07:38 AM | #1234 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
also, feel free to not do that if you don't think it's smart. it just sounds p cool to me. PCE
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10-9-2013, 10:46 AM | #1235 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
sorry for the post spew. final thoughts. disregard my big "play the odds" post. work on reads/associations and find a wolf. get a red flip, do more research with the new info, keep going. play the game and win.
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10-9-2013, 10:55 AM | #1236 |
End of the road
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
crazyjayde pretty much always a wolf here
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10-9-2013, 11:32 AM | #1237 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
crazyjayde/V w/w locking it in
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10-9-2013, 11:35 AM | #1238 |
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
lmao I was gonna make that post in about 7 hours
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10-9-2013, 11:39 AM | #1239 |
End of the road
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
we shoulda made it 17 hours ago
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10-9-2013, 11:50 AM | #1240 |
End of the road
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Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party
dont lynch outside of jayde/V tomorrow plz. Third might be melloncollie?? That was my sub theory, but i already went against that when I said yoman was human for subbing out and I murdered tps in cold blood (rip ). Also the whole V using that as a reason to push tps but ignoring melloncollie/netjet who I found wolfier at the time.
Next game im not gonna be such a flake or just random.org all my decisions, both are for the best |
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