Old 10-9-2013, 12:40 AM   #1221
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

Are we allowed to show PM's in this thread? I can show you the PM Xiz gave me.
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And if you ever saw it
You could even say it glows

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All in all I would say that Charu not only won this game, his play made me reconsider how I play it.
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:41 AM   #1222
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

noooooooooooo do not do that

erm someone might want to edit/delete that post
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:42 AM   #1223
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

not you though charu. you do not edit/delete that post. maybe manti will edit/delete that post.
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:45 AM   #1224
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

Oh, alright. But you wouldn't know if I would just edit it and manipulate it anyways, so I don't think that question is that bad.
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Originally Posted by JohnRedWolf87 View Post
Charu the red-nosed Snivy
Had a very shiny nose
And if you ever saw it
You could even say it glows

All of the other Snivies
Used to laugh and call him names
They never let poor Charu
Join in any Snivy games

(Click the arrow to see the rest)


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Originally Posted by Vendetta21 View Post
All in all I would say that Charu not only won this game, his play made me reconsider how I play it.
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:46 AM   #1225
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

Sorry by the way. =/
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Originally Posted by JohnRedWolf87 View Post
Charu the red-nosed Snivy
Had a very shiny nose
And if you ever saw it
You could even say it glows

All of the other Snivies
Used to laugh and call him names
They never let poor Charu
Join in any Snivy games

(Click the arrow to see the rest)


Quote:
Originally Posted by Vendetta21 View Post
All in all I would say that Charu not only won this game, his play made me reconsider how I play it.
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:47 AM   #1226
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

np np np

moving on, I THINK YOU ARE A WOLF CHARU
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:47 AM   #1227
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

maybe the town should play rock paper scissors over webcam to decide who gets to pick the next lynch
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:48 AM   #1228
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

ok I'm done. GL TOWN
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:49 AM   #1229
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

Well I'm definitely not, and if I can't do that, I really don't know what I can do to convince you.
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Originally Posted by JohnRedWolf87 View Post
Charu the red-nosed Snivy
Had a very shiny nose
And if you ever saw it
You could even say it glows

All of the other Snivies
Used to laugh and call him names
They never let poor Charu
Join in any Snivy games

(Click the arrow to see the rest)


Quote:
Originally Posted by Vendetta21 View Post
All in all I would say that Charu not only won this game, his play made me reconsider how I play it.
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Old 10-9-2013, 12:51 AM   #1230
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

The question is fine, actually doing it would be a problem.

We need to reassess everything from here. Re-set your thought process and work out confirmed people again from scratch and why you feel they are confirmed. Do the same thing for wolves. Tunnel vision will kill us if we let it.
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Manti, I apologize for insulting you. Let the record show that I am a prickass douche, and not only that, but that I am a terrible player.
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Old 10-9-2013, 01:43 AM   #1231
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

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The question is fine, actually doing it would be a problem.
^ This. Don't do it Charu
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Old 10-9-2013, 06:48 AM   #1232
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

hello diary, IM AT IT AGAIN!!!

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Originally Posted by DarkManticoreX2 View Post
We need to reassess everything from here. Re-set your thought process and work out confirmed people again from scratch and why you feel they are confirmed. Do the same thing for wolves. Tunnel vision will kill us if we let it.
this is awesome. I don't even care if you're a wolf, I really think I/we needed this.

so I was thinking. j-rodd, it's cool that we were looking for wolves based on tactics we expect all wolves to use. on mafiascum or wherever that's probably pretty effective. but here I think the styles between players clash a lot.

to me, there are too many question marks remaining for us to play super sleuth and flawlessly put every piece correctly into place. instead of playing detective, I think we should play the numbers game, at least for one phase.

-----

townies, here's my suggestion. come up with two pairings where you believe STRONGLY that the two players in question are NOT both wolves. set aside those 4, and lynch from the remaining pool.

here's why. we have 9 players remaining. j-rodd and I are confirmed town, so that leaves a lynch pool of 7. with each pair as described above, if the link you drew is correct, that pair has either 0 or 1 wolves.

worst case: your links are wrong, one pair has 2 wolves, you're probably done for. if you have that much bad data then it probably would've been gg anyway.

bleh case: your links are correct. each pair has exactly 1 wolf. 33% chance to hit a wolf out of the remaining pool. still, if you correctly clear one of the remaining 3, odds are then 50% if you coinflip for the final 2 haha.

best case: your links are correct, and at least one of the pairs you created has 0 wolves. lynching from the remaining pool gives you 66% or maybe even 100% chance to hit if you lynch randomly from the remaining 3. that's pretty cool.

-----

play the odds, we're up all night to get lucky, get one red flip, and play from there. we're playing solitaire at this point; there's a lot of shit under the surface that we can't see, but we can still set ourselves up to have the best possible chance of winning.
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Old 10-9-2013, 06:50 AM   #1233
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

if I were to pick two of these "mutually exclusive" pairs right now, I would probably go with

V/Manti are not both wolves
melloncollie/jayde are not both wolves

but you decide that for yourselves.
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Old 10-9-2013, 07:38 AM   #1234
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

also, feel free to not do that if you don't think it's smart. it just sounds p cool to me. PCE
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Old 10-9-2013, 10:46 AM   #1235
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

sorry for the post spew. final thoughts. disregard my big "play the odds" post. work on reads/associations and find a wolf. get a red flip, do more research with the new info, keep going. play the game and win.
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Old 10-9-2013, 10:55 AM   #1236
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

crazyjayde pretty much always a wolf here
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wow
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Old 10-9-2013, 11:32 AM   #1237
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crazyjayde/V w/w locking it in
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Old 10-9-2013, 11:35 AM   #1238
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lmao I was gonna make that post in about 7 hours
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Old 10-9-2013, 11:39 AM   #1239
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

we shoulda made it 17 hours ago
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wow
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Old 10-9-2013, 11:50 AM   #1240
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Default Re: TWG CI: Fiction's Birthday Party

dont lynch outside of jayde/V tomorrow plz. Third might be melloncollie?? That was my sub theory, but i already went against that when I said yoman was human for subbing out and I murdered tps in cold blood (rip ). Also the whole V using that as a reason to push tps but ignoring melloncollie/netjet who I found wolfier at the time.

Next game im not gonna be such a flake

or just random.org all my decisions, both are for the best
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