TWG CXXXIII: Gotta Lynch 'em All! GAME THREAD ROUND 2 CAUSE YOU ASSES

[psychoangel691]

Originally Posted by storn42

not liking this quick jump to vote for ck. its like you'll do whatever choof says you will. i mean, i guess choof is really towny so i guess it makes sense. but idk, the quick jump to vote for ck just cus someone told you...

People throw out all kinds of random shit D0, but hey if it's that suspicious to you by all means go ahead and vote me.

I'm not zero'd in on anyone as of right now. I'm waiting for the usual EOD pickup that happens to see what comes of it.

[psychoangel691]

lol ninja'd

[choof]

Originally Posted by Charu

You remember that game where it was night 1 and then I called out you and tiloco? Where in that game you said you would not post again or something?

Well... go back to it, Cold Kitten did the same thing, all of these "I'll do it later" type of stuff posts with a not so formal reads list, and she turned out to be human.

was this the one where I fake claimed tracker during the night?
the only other people I'd be good with a lynch on today are roundbox and dbp

[choof]

Originally Posted by Charu

And plus... bruh... she's in my wolf gang.

Can't mess with that gang, get out of here.

if it's the game that I fake-claimed tracker during the night, I hope you read the wolf chat post game because it would have worked had you not totally fucked it up

bruh

[Jtehanonymous]

So I'm looking through some posts now and I was thinking earlier, "wow, I probably have the least amount of posts. this is abysmal"

and then I noticed I posted more than J-rodd yessssssss. Too bad he's not in the game. >

I had a sneaking suspicion on charu when I read the thread when I had first gotten back home. Combing through his posts, there are like 10+ posts are sarcastically mentioned wolf buddies etc, and that's the obnoxious persona I'm used to when he's a wolf. (See: grocery game thing, salmonella supermarket).

Also he didn't drive 45 minutes to come visit me in Michigan the other day so honestly get fucked.

I noticed that many people were on Jubert for a while as well, so going back through his posts...

wait?! Jubert you're from NSM? I used to go on there and I posted for a little while some of my youtube covers. heyyyy
Overall Jubert seems fairly interested in the game, early on mentioned analyzing behavior with spreadsheets... he did have a conflicting moment with his read on Curry and Rice? and there is also a lot of learning going on I believe on his end being newer to this forum. I'll pass on his for now.
Wait we DID do a duet omg, juber! lolol. musical mason bros. your reads list seems fairly good and LATER this phase I'm liking how "unrobotic" he is responding.

Psychoangel, DBP, lightknightnumbers or somethng, yeah of course moving on.

But wait, before I do that, I'm thinking as far as D0 is considered, is the better lynch null/active person in a situation of 16 players, especially when inactive constitute 25% of the pool. (I'm painfully counting MYSELF in that statistics rofl) anyone want to share their own thoughts regarding that?

I said earlier that storn was essentially being a "try-hard" and that looked dangerous, but I'm reviewing their posts again and it looks earnest and in any light, I would NOT lynch here since it's more valuable to keep a posting pattern like that around for more information.

I don't really *get* what sunfan is doing... but strangely I don't think it's anything to worry about. Like, why are you just randomly saying one-liners about feels of people's alignment and also being intentionally cryptic? Is this like, some sort of edifying experience that will be written up in the post-game thread because lol. I can't do anything with it~

From red, I know thee's a lot of shit posting I'm sifting through, but I could've SWORN I saw an actual decent post or two that I liked when i was reading the thread earlier....where are they fffffffff
Welp, easy come easy go. At any rate, there *was* a point where I thought Red had ramped up his posting for a second, but am struggling to find it now.

Even with not as many posts as some people, Roundbox's contribution to the game as been pretty satisfactory. he's probing others to follow up on things they've stated and thrown out some of his own info, even when not pressured, especially earlier on. not sure I've played forum twg with you though, only video twg so I may be in for a surprise later rofl.

Originally Posted by choof

reuben, correct me if I'm wrong, but with a 16 player setup and 4 wolves, statistically it's pretty probable that one of these four players are wolves

figured I'd comment on this too since I have been meaning to. I'll disregard all "meta" (assuming forum go-ers do have a statistically higher likelihood of selecting the correct alignment, the alternative being pure guessing probability)

The chance that none of those 4 random people are wolves is 27.2%, which means the chance for at least one wolf, if not more is 72.8%. If you remove yourself from the pool (as a given) that you are also town, this probability increases.

however, I don't really prescribe to probability/statistics *too* much when playing this game because 1) I'm not Mashi 2) They somehow ALWAYS seem to fuck me over and I'm left with six sigma sheet. I prefer to follow my heart~

I'll continue to develop some ideas so my vote isn't locked in one world.

[Charu]

Roundbox, eh?

[storn42]

zomg a post by jteh!!

[Jtehanonymous]

and like, 40 new posts from you guys since I started it, good lord.

[storn42]

tell me about it :P

[Charu]

Jteh, I'm sorrrrrrrrrrry, like it was 7 or something and I had to work in the morning.

I didn't think it was #worth it

[choof]

oh neat, jteh made a pretty decent post

Originally Posted by Jtehanonymous

But wait, before I do that, I'm thinking as far as D0 is considered, is the better lynch null/active person in a situation of 16 players, especially when inactive constitute 25% of the pool. (I'm painfully counting MYSELF in that statistics rofl) anyone want to share their own thoughts regarding that?

if we're counting dbp in the inactive pool, he would probably be the best shot at hitting an inactive wolf because he does this shit every game he's a wolf in

the other inactives aren't all the alignment indicative, with lightknight being truly null because the dude forgot about the game lmao

[Charu]

HONEST!!!

[storn42]

Originally Posted by choof

oh neat, jteh made a pretty decent post



if we're counting dbp in the inactive pool, he would probably be the best shot at hitting an inactive wolf because he does this shit every game he's a wolf in

yea, if this is true i'd be down with a dbp lynch for any inactives.

[Jtehanonymous]

Originally Posted by choof

oh neat, jteh made a pretty decent post



if we're counting dbp in the inactive pool, he would probably be the best shot at hitting an inactive wolf because he does this shit every game he's a wolf in

the other inactives aren't all the alignment indicative, with lightknight being truly null because the dude forgot about the game lmao

I would be *okay* with an inactive lynch, and maybe even going in that direction with DBP if that's the general trend of his alignment outcome. I just worry that the inactives will be a TUMOR and I can depend on the sweetie pie wolves to do us a solid and just start chopping off some of that tumor.

[choof]

Originally Posted by Charu

Roundbox, eh?

yea, wasn't diggin his approach to the game and he's seemed to die down a bit lately

I'm pretty sure I've only been in one game with him and it was the one I modded
idk how much that counts in terms of meta but he doesn't feel like the same person as he was in that game

I guess maybe you say he's different this game because this game has power roles and the one he played in didn't, but he's definitely played more than just the few games recently

I strongly think he is a wolf

[Jtehanonymous]

I'd want to also consider the other inactives too though... but ANY direction is stretching which is why I'm leery.

[choof]

omg sunfan i was just thinkin' bout u

[choof]

Originally Posted by MrPopadopalis25

I wonder if dbp is the Take Down wolf.

really good point, what do you think we could gather about wolves based on vote count on the take down wolf?

[storn42]

so choof, let me get this straight. your current woof team is CK/RB/dbp/other person right? well, atleast those are the people you think are woofs.

[storn42]

Originally Posted by choof

really good point, what do you think we could gather about wolves based on vote count on the take down wolf?

woofs will want to vote early on, if they want to bus. the question is do they know what roles their partners are? we will also need to choose who wants to take the blow if he is the TD