How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

I'm thinking around 4-5 years, placing my bets on May of 2019.

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

how long do you think we have 2,000,000 active members that play ffr

I'm thinking about never

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

if we had 2,000,000 people using FFR all at the same time FFR would crash.

It's bad enough as it is sometimes during tournaments.

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

also how many of these members are legit members, excluding

alts
bots
yaboy's 200 alt collection

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

yaboy, blazze...

..me

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

I award this post the Thread Killer McMuffington Scum

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

Where's blazze, anaru, and yaboy at? We could have 2mil accounts by Christmas.

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

To me, 3.5 years seems reasonable, since that seems like the amount of time it took to add 100,000 accounts to the counter.

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

Somebody go tell Rapta

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

I bet there are less than 100,000 legit individual users registered.

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

2024

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

A few months maybe?

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

you're not one of them

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

+1

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

April 24th, 2016 will be the day we hit 2 millions

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

member 1.75M is 3.75 years old
member 1.775M is 3.29 years old
member 1.8M is 2.67 years old
member 1.825M is 2.08 years old
member 1.85M is 1.4 years old
member 1.875M is 0.96 years old
member 1.9M is 0.12 years old

plug it into a linear regression calculator and you get that you expect 2 million members in 2.17 years from now, which is mid-february 2017

/geek

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

But what's the R squared?
Did we accept or reject the null hypothesis?

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

With people like Preggers, we'll hit that milestone easily in the next year, I won't even give it a full year to be honest :p

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

Better change this thread to "Name people with alts"

Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
 

ok i'm not sure if you're being serious with this post, or (as i suspect) whether you've just finished taking a statistics class and decided to fling words around on here to make yourself look smart, but just in case:

if you want the r^2 value then put the numbers into the online calculator i linked and press the calculate button and scroll down.

linear regression is the wrong test to use for hypothesis testing here. that's because the number of accounts has got to go up with time, which is a causal factor that you're ignoring when you do the test. what you should be doing is testing whether the new accounts are generated at a constant rate, and if you want to do that using only the data i've given you, you do a chi-squared goodness-of-fit. but in this case there's no point in doing that because if you stare at the numbers and don't blink for a few seconds, you'll notice that hell will freeze over and leonardo dicaprio will win an oscar before a poisson process would generate numbers like this. obviously a fixed rate poisson process is far too strong a condition to use here, but there's not much that can be done except assume linearity and go for the trend line.

haha yeah he was talking to me about this in prochat a while back. xelnya (i think) said give it 2 months and he'll get there :P